Predictions → England National League

Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 16:30 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Aggborough Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 61% 27.1% — — — —
Double Chance X2 65% 63.5% — — — —
BTTS Yes 83% 53.5% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 47.1% — — — —
Correct Score 1-1 69% 10.6% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Kidderminster Harriers 1.36 – 1.46 Worthing · expected total 2.83

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Kidderminster Harriers

Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1445

Worthing

Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1455

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Kidderminster Harriers

Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Worthing

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 8
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League

Kidderminster Harriers

Best defence (0.90 conceded/game) Worst Over 2.5 rate (17%) Best clean sheets (5)

Worthing

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Kidderminster Harriers at home · Worthing away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Kidderminster Harriers (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–1L
W 3
D 3
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Worthing (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–1L
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Kidderminster Harriers (home)Worthing (away)
W 3
D 3
L 1
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
1.70
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
10.6%
0–0
5.8%
2–2
4.8%
3–3
1.1%
4–4
0.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

📈 Recent Form

Kidderminster Harriers

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Carlisle Away 0–0 D
03/10 Sutton Utd Home 1–1 D
29/09 Boreham Wood Away 1–3 L
26/09 Yeovil Town Home 0–1 L
19/09 Woking Away 0–0 D

Worthing

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Solihull Moors Home 5–0 W
03/10 Gateshead Away 2–1 W
29/09 Yeovil Town Away 1–1 D
26/09 FC Halifax Town Home 2–1 W
19/09 Hartlepool Away 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League

Kidderminster Harriers #11 · 20 pts —  Worthing #5 · 24 pts

Kidderminster Harriers

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–5D–3L
W 5
D 5
L 3
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4
Yellow cards37
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Worthing

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–3D–3L
W 7
D 3
L 3
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards18
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Kidderminster HarriersWorthing
W 5
D 5
L 3
W 7
D 3
L 3
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.40
Clean sheets
5
3
Failed to score
4
0
Yellow cards
37
18
Red cards
2
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Kidderminster Harriers

2
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Worthing

0-15
3
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
4
7
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws