Predictions → England National League

Tamworth vs Scunthorpe

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • Round 15 • The Lamb Ground

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 59.3% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 76% 78.6% — — — —
BTTS No 81% 48.8% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79% 46.3% — — — —
Correct Score 1-0 65% 8.3% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Tamworth 1.81 – 0.95 Scunthorpe · expected total 2.76

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Tamworth

Form (last 5)
LBarrow (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026WLeeds United U21 (H) 1–0 · 06/10/2026WHartlepool (A) 1–0 · 03/10/2026WSutton Utd (H) 2–0 · 30/09/2026LAldershot Town (A) 1–5 · 26/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1467

Scunthorpe

Form (last 5)
LAFC Fylde (A) 0–2 · 10/10/2026LBarrow (A) 0–3 · 29/09/2026WHartlepool (H) 4–1 · 26/09/2026LAFC Hornchurch (A) 0–1 · 19/09/2026LBoreham Wood (H) 1–2 · 16/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1554
TamworthScunthorpe
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.30
1.80
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
Elo strength rating
1467
1554

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Tamworth

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Scunthorpe

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Tamworth at home · Scunthorpe away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Tamworth (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–2L
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Scunthorpe (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–6L
W 1
L 6
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Tamworth (home)Scunthorpe (away)
W 3
D 1
L 2
W 1
L 6
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
8.3%
2–0
8.3%
2–1
7.9%
3–0
5%
3–1
4.7%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Scunthorpe 3 wins · 0 draws · Tamworth 1 win · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4

3
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
06 Dec 2025 Scunthorpe 3–1 Tamworth National League
09 Aug 2025 Tamworth 1–2 Scunthorpe National League
30 Jan 2024 Scunthorpe 0–1 Tamworth National League - North
05 Aug 2023 Tamworth 1–2 Scunthorpe National League - North

📈 Recent Form

Tamworth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Barrow Home 1–2 L
06/10 Leeds United U21 Home 1–0 W
03/10 Hartlepool Away 1–0 W
30/09 Sutton Utd Home 2–0 W
26/09 Aldershot Town Away 1–5 L

Scunthorpe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 AFC Fylde Away 0–2 L
29/09 Barrow Away 0–3 L
26/09 Hartlepool Home 4–1 W
19/09 AFC Hornchurch Away 0–1 L
16/09 Boreham Wood Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — National League

Tamworth #18 · 14 pts —  Scunthorpe #22 · 10 pts

Tamworth

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–7L
W 4
D 2
L 7
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards26
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Scunthorpe

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–8L
W 3
D 1
L 8
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score5
Yellow cards27
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
TamworthScunthorpe
W 4
D 2
L 7
W 3
D 1
L 8
Played
13
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.80
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
0
5
Yellow cards
26
27
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Tamworth

2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
10
31-45
3
6
46-60
4
8
61-75
3
1
76-90
7
scored conceded

Scunthorpe

2
0-15
4
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
3
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws