Worthing vs Southend
Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 80% | 45% | — | — | — | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | 72% | 73% | — | — | — | — |
| BTTS | Yes | 85% | 57.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 56.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | 62% | 7.1% | — | — | — | — |
⚽ Model expected goals: Worthing 1.92 – 1.50 Southend · expected total 3.43
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Worthing
Southend
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Worthing
Southend
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — National League
Worthing
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Southend
Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Worthing at home · Southend away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Worthing (home)
Southend (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
📈 Recent Form
Worthing
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Solihull Moors | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Gateshead | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Yeovil Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Halifax Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Hartlepool | Away | 3–1 | W |
Southend
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Boston United | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | AFC Fylde | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 30/09 | Eastleigh | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Barrow | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Gateshead | Away | 6–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison — National League
Worthing #5 · 24 pts — Southend #3 · 27 pts
Worthing
Southend
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Worthing
Southend
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws