Aveley vs St Albans City
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 10 • ☀️ 8.7°C, 17 km/h clear
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.55 (75.7%, Model EV +17.3%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.85 → 2.7 ▼5% | Dafabet2.70 | 38.4% | +3.7% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.25 | 76.6% | -4.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.50 | 75.8% · No 24.2% | +13.7% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.55 | 65.9% · Under 34.1% | +2.1% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | William Hill10.00 | 7.9% | -21% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Aveley · Home
Aveley have won three of their last five, including a 4-3 home win over Dartford and a 2-1 home win over Carshalton Athletic. Their model expected goals of 2.29 is the higher of the two sides for this fixture.
St Albans City · Away
St Albans City have scored 12 goals across their last five, with 3-1 wins over Whitehawk and Burgess Hill Town. Their model expected goals of 1.81 still trails Aveley's figure.
Aveley's Home Edge Holds
The latest head-to-head was a 0-1 Aveley win at St Albans City on 11 Apr 2026, while the earlier meeting at Aveley finished 0-2 and 1-1. Aveley have won three of their last five, and St Albans City have conceded 8 goals in five. Both teams scored in four of Aveley's last five and in all five St Albans City matches, so a 2-1 home scoreline is realistic. The evidence supports Aveley win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Aveley 2.29 – 1.81 St Albans City · expected total 4.10
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Aveley
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Aveley
St Albans City
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aveley
St Albans City
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Isthmian teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Aveley at home · St Albans City away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Aveley (home)
St Albans City (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Aveley 4 wins · 1 draw · St Albans City 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | St Albans City | 0–1 | Aveley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Aveley | 0–2 | St Albans City | FA Trophy |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Aveley | 1–1 | St Albans City | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 25 Feb 2025 | St Albans City | 3–0 | Aveley | National League - South |
| 25 Nov 2024 | Aveley | 6–3 | St Albans City | National League - South |
| 23 Mar 2024 | Aveley | 2–1 | St Albans City | National League - South |
| 28 Oct 2023 | St Albans City | 0–1 | Aveley | National League - South |
📈 Recent Form
Aveley
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Dartford | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 24/10 | Carshalton Athletic | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/10 | Maldon & Tiptree | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Chatham Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Burgess Hill Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/10 | Cheshunt | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Dulwich Hamlet | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/09 | Ware | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Brentwood Town | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 14/09 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 3–4 | L |
St Albans City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Whitehawk | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Burgess Hill Town | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Whitehawk | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 10/10 | Carshalton Athletic | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Harborough Town | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 26/09 | Bury Town | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Witham Town | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Cray Wanderers | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 12/09 | Three Bridges | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Hashtag United | Away | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aveley #16 · 17 pts · St Albans City #7 · 23 pts
Aveley
St Albans City
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Aveley
St Albans City
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Isthmian predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws