Chatham Town vs Burgess Hill Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • ☀️ 12.8°C, 16 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 69.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 86.4% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 68.1% · No 31.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 77.7% · Under 22.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Chatham Town · Home
Chatham Town have won two of their last five, including a 3-2 home win over Welling United and a 4-0 away win at Dulwich Hamlet, though they failed to score in two of those five. Their model expected goals of 2.9 for this fixture reflect a home attack that has produced goals in patches.
Burgess Hill Town · Away
Burgess Hill Town have conceded 18 goals across their last five matches, including a 0-6 home defeat to Enfield Town and a 2-4 loss at Welling United. They have failed to score only once in that run but have kept no clean sheets.
H2H dominance points home
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Chatham Town won 3-0 away at Burgess Hill Town on 21 Mar 2026, following a 4-0 home win on 6 Dec 2025 and a 0-1 away win on 25 Mar 2023. Across those three meetings Chatham scored 8 and conceded 0. Burgess Hill Town's recent 18 goals conceded in five matches supports that pattern, while Chatham's own 10 conceded in five keeps a home clean sheet unlikely. The evidence supports Chatham Town win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Chatham Town 2.90 – 1.26 Burgess Hill Town · expected total 4.15
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Chatham Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Chatham Town at home · Burgess Hill Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Chatham Town (home)
Burgess Hill Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Burgess Hill Town 0 wins · 0 draws · Chatham Town 4 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 1 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Burgess Hill Town | 0–3 | Chatham Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Chatham Town | 4–0 | Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 25 Mar 2023 | Burgess Hill Town | 0–1 | Chatham Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Chatham Town | 2–1 | Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
📈 Recent Form
Chatham Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cheshunt | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Enfield Town | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Welling United | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/10 | Dulwich Hamlet | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Aveley | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Brentwood Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Leatherhead | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Dorking Wanderers | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Berkhamsted | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Slough Town | Away | 1–0 | W |
Burgess Hill Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Enfield Town | Home | 0–6 | L |
| 27/10 | St Albans City | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Erith Town | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 21/10 | Whyteleafe | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Welling United | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 13/10 | Dulwich Hamlet | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Aveley | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Maldon & Tiptree | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Winslow United | Home | 6–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Hanwell Town | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Isthmian
Chatham Town #5 · 24 pts · Burgess Hill Town #12 · 20 pts
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Chatham Town
Burgess Hill Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Isthmian predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws