Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • ☀️ 10.4°C, 14 km/h clear
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.53 (80.0%, Model EV +22.4%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano2.42 | 44% | +6.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Betano1.27 | 76.7% | -2.6% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.53 | 80% · No 20% | +22.4% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.65 | 66.4% · Under 33.6% | +9.6% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Marathonbet8.20 | 7% | -42.6% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Wingate & Finchley · Home
Wingate & Finchley are unbeaten across their last five, winning four, including home scores of 4-2, 4-1 and 2-0. They scored 14 goals in that run and failed to score in none of those matches.
Burgess Hill Town · Away
Burgess Hill Town have lost three of five and conceded 18 goals, including 0-6 at home and 2-4 away. Their only win was 3-2 on the road, and they failed to score once.
Wingate's Home Scoring Edge
The latest head-to-head, on 3 Mar 2026, ended 1-2 to Burgess Hill Town, and the earlier meeting finished 3-2. Those results show Burgess Hill Town can score in this matchup, which supports the over and both-teams-to-score picks. Wingate & Finchley's five-match run of 14 goals for and 5 against, with no blanks, still points to the home side's scoring edge. The evidence supports Wingate & Finchley win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Wingate & Finchley 2.80 – 1.88 Burgess Hill Town · expected total 4.69
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Wingate & Finchley
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Wingate & Finchley
Burgess Hill Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Wingate & Finchley at home · Burgess Hill Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Wingate & Finchley (home)
Burgess Hill Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Burgess Hill Town 2 wins · 0 draws · Wingate & Finchley 0 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar 2026 | Wingate & Finchley | 1–2 | Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Burgess Hill Town | 3–2 | Wingate & Finchley | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
📈 Recent Form
Wingate & Finchley
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Lewes | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Needham Market | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Carshalton Athletic | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Stanway Rovers | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Ramsgate | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Dartford | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 06/10 | Bedford Town | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Bedford Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 26/09 | Real Bedford | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Hemel Hempstead Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
Burgess Hill Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Enfield Town | Home | 0–6 | L |
| 27/10 | St Albans City | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Erith Town | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 21/10 | Whyteleafe | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Welling United | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 13/10 | Dulwich Hamlet | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Aveley | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Maldon & Tiptree | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Winslow United | Home | 6–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Hanwell Town | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Isthmian
Wingate & Finchley #10 · 21 pts · Burgess Hill Town #12 · 20 pts
Wingate & Finchley
Burgess Hill Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Wingate & Finchley
Burgess Hill Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Isthmian predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws