Lewes vs Dartford
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 10 • ⛅ 8.9°C, 19 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.62 (74.1%, Model EV +20.0%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano2.90 | 38.7% | +12.2% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Betfair1.29 | 76.5% | -1.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.62 | 74.1% · No 25.9% | +20% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.73 | 61.5% · Under 38.5% | +6.4% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Marathonbet9.10 | 8.4% | -23.6% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Lewes · Home
Lewes are unbeaten across their last five matches, with 3 wins and two draws, and they have scored in every one of those games. Their home form includes a 1-0 win over Whitehawk and draws of 2-2 and 1-1, so they have been hard to beat at home.
Dartford · Away
Dartford have lost three of their last five, conceding 12 goals across that run, including a 3-4 defeat at Aveley and a 0-3 loss at Brentwood Town. They did win the reverse head-to-head 4-1 in March 2026, but their two other meetings with Lewes ended in home wins for Lewes, at 1-0 and 3-1.
Lewes edge the H2H pattern
The latest head-to-head, a 4-1 Dartford win in March 2026, is the outlier: the two previous meetings both finished as Lewes home victories, 1-0 and 3-1. Lewes are unbeaten in five with 8 goals scored, while Dartford have conceded 12 in five and kept no clean sheets. The model gives Lewes a 55.7% chance and a 2-1 correct score, with both teams scoring at 74.1%. The evidence supports Lewes win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Lewes 2.49 – 1.62 Dartford · expected total 4.11
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Lewes
Dartford
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Isthmian
Lewes
Dartford
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Isthmian teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Lewes at home · Dartford away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Lewes (home)
Dartford (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Dartford 2 wins · 0 draws · Lewes 3 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Dartford | 4–1 | Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Lewes | 1–0 | Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Lewes | 3–1 | Dartford | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Dartford | 2–0 | Lewes | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| 07 Aug 2021 | Lewes | 2–1 | Dartford | Friendlies Clubs |
📈 Recent Form
Lewes
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Maldon & Tiptree | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | Three Bridges | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Cray Wanderers | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Whitehawk | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Uxbridge | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Cheshunt | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 15/09 | Carshalton Athletic | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Chatham Town | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 08/09 | Cray Wanderers | Away | 0–1 | L |
Dartford
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Aveley | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 24/10 | Three Bridges | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/10 | Brentwood Town | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Whyteleafe | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 06/10 | Ramsgate | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Tadley Calleva | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Whitehawk | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Leiston | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Hayes & Yeading United | Home | 4–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Isthmian
Lewes #4 · 27 pts · Dartford #6 · 24 pts
Lewes
Dartford
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Lewes
Dartford
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Isthmian predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws