Predictions → England Non League Premier - Isthmian

Wingate & Finchley vs Maldon & Tiptree

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • 🌦 7.5°C, 2 km/h, 0.6mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available58.7% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available82.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available85.3% · No 14.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available90.4% · Under 9.6% —
Correct Score 3-2 Current price not available6.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Wingate & Finchley · Home

Wingate & Finchley are unbeaten across their last five, with four wins and 14 goals scored, including home victories of 4-2 over Carshalton Athletic and 2-0 over Ramsgate. Their model expected goals of 3.31 for this fixture points to another productive home display.

Maldon & Tiptree · Away

Maldon & Tiptree are also unbeaten in five, but three draws and no clean sheets show they concede regularly, as in the 2-2 draw with Eastbourne Borough. They did win 2-1 at Aveley, so they carry scoring threat on the road.

Wingate's Home Scoring Edge

The latest head-to-head, on 21 Sep 2019, finished 4-2 to Maldon & Tiptree, yet Wingate's current home run of 4-2 and 2-0 offers the more relevant guide. Maldon have drawn three of their last five and kept no clean sheets, while Wingate scored in all five and won four. With model expected goals of 3.31 against 2.16, a high-scoring home performance is realistic even if Maldon contribute. The evidence supports Wingate & Finchley win.

Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Wingate & Finchley 3.31 – 2.16 Maldon & Tiptree · expected total 5.47

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Wingate & Finchley

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1403

Maldon & Tiptree

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1364
Wingate & FinchleyMaldon & Tiptree
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
2.30
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
Elo strength rating
1403
1364

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Wingate & Finchley

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Maldon & Tiptree

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Isthmian

Wingate & Finchley

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Maldon & Tiptree

Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6)

Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Isthmian teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Wingate & Finchley at home · Maldon & Tiptree away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Wingate & Finchley (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–1L
W 4
D 1
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Maldon & Tiptree (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–4L
W 2
D 1
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Wingate & Finchley (home)Maldon & Tiptree (away)
W 4
D 1
L 1
W 2
D 1
L 4
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.90
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

3–2
6.3%
3–1
5.84%
2–1
5.3%
4–2
5.22%
4–1
4.84%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Maldon & Tiptree 1 win · 0 draws · Wingate & Finchley 0 wins · avg 6 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Sep 2019 Maldon & Tiptree 4–2 Wingate & Finchley FA Cup

📈 Recent Form

Wingate & Finchley

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Lewes Away 2–2 D
24/10 Needham Market Away 2–0 W
20/10 Carshalton Athletic Home 4–2 W
17/10 Stanway Rovers Home 4–1 W
13/10 Ramsgate Home 2–0 W
10/10 Dartford Away 1–2 L
06/10 Bedford Town Home 1–3 L
03/10 Bedford Town Away 2–2 D
26/09 Real Bedford Away 3–0 W
22/09 Hemel Hempstead Town Home 2–1 W

Maldon & Tiptree

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Three Bridges Home 3–1 W
27/10 Eastbourne Borough Home 2–2 D
24/10 Dulwich Hamlet Home 1–1 D
19/10 Aveley Away 2–1 W
17/10 Lewes Away 1–1 D
10/10 Whyteleafe Home 1–2 L
06/10 Welling United Home 0–1 L
03/10 Burgess Hill Town Away 1–4 L
29/09 Cray Wanderers Home 1–5 L
26/09 Egham Town Home 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Isthmian

Wingate & Finchley #10 · 21 pts ·  Maldon & Tiptree #17 · 17 pts

Wingate & Finchley

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–4L
W 6
D 3
L 4
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Maldon & Tiptree

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–10L
W 5
D 2
L 10
Played17
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Wingate & FinchleyMaldon & Tiptree
W 6
D 3
L 4
W 5
D 2
L 10
Played
13
17
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
2.30
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Wingate & Finchley

4
0-15
5
3
16-30
1
4
31-45
9
4
46-60
4
7
61-75
4
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Maldon & Tiptree

7
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
7
31-45
7
8
46-60
3
6
61-75
3
7
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Isthmian predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws