Predictions → England Non League Premier - Northern

Quorn vs Alfreton Town

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ⛅ 11.5°C, 16 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.4% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available75.4% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available65.9% · No 34.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available64.4% · Under 35.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Quorn 45.4% · Draw 24.6% · Alfreton Town 30.0%. Selected outcome: Quorn win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Quorn 1.85, Alfreton Town 1.48, expected total 3.32.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Quorn: W-D-L-D-W in their last five matches.
Alfreton Town: W-W-D-D-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Quorn

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1367

Alfreton Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1361
QuornAlfreton Town
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.10
1.10
Best league winning streak this season
1
2
Elo strength rating
1367
1361

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Quorn

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Alfreton Town

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern

Quorn

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Alfreton Town

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Quorn at home · Alfreton Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Quorn (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–2L
W 2
D 3
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Alfreton Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–5L
W 1
D 1
L 5
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Quorn (home)Alfreton Town (away)
W 2
D 3
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 5
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
2.60
1.40
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.11%
2–0
6.18%
1–0
5.7%
3–1
5.61%
3–2
4.14%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Quorn

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Warrington Town Home 3–2 W
27/10 United of Manchester Away 1–1 D
24/10 Kettering Town Away 2–6 L
13/10 Hyde United Away 2–2 D
10/10 Workington Home 3–0 W
06/10 Ashton United Home 2–2 D
03/10 Bamber Bridge Away 4–2 W
26/09 Leamington Home 4–2 W
19/09 Kettering Town Away 0–2 L
12/09 Guiseley AFC Away 1–4 L

Alfreton Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 AFC Emley Home 2–1 W
24/10 Mickleover Sports Away 2–1 W
17/10 Warrington Town Home 1–1 D
13/10 Ashton United Away 0–0 D
10/10 Bury Home 2–3 L
06/10 United of Manchester Home 1–0 W
03/10 Redcar Athletic Away 1–3 L
29/09 Guiseley AFC Home 1–0 W
26/09 Shifnal Town FC Home 2–1 W
12/09 Bamber Bridge Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern

Quorn #14 · 18 pts ·  Alfreton Town #9 · 23 pts

Quorn

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–6D–5L
W 4
D 6
L 5
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards1
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Alfreton Town

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–2D–7L
W 7
D 2
L 7
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4
Yellow cards1
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
QuornAlfreton Town
W 4
D 6
L 5
W 7
D 2
L 7
Played
15
16
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.10
Clean sheets
2
5
Failed to score
2
4
Yellow cards
1
1
Red cards
2
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Quorn

1
0-15
5
3
16-30
3
6
31-45
2
7
46-60
5
10
61-75
8
5
76-90
4
scored conceded

Alfreton Town

1
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
5
61-75
5
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws