Workington vs Alfreton Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 16 • 🌦 8.6°C, 4 km/h, 0.4mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 54.3% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 67.5% · No 32.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 69.1% · Under 30.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Workington 54.3% · Draw 22.3% · Alfreton Town 23.4%. Selected outcome: Workington win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Workington 2.18, Alfreton Town 1.39, expected total 3.58.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Workington: W-W-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Alfreton Town: W-W-D-D-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Workington
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Workington
Alfreton Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Workington
Alfreton Town
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Workington at home · Alfreton Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Workington (home)
Alfreton Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Workington
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bury | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Bamber Bridge | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Whitby Town | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Quorn | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 06/10 | Warrington Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/09 | AFC Emley | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Blyth Spartans | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Bury | Away | 1–5 | L |
Alfreton Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AFC Emley | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Mickleover Sports | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Warrington Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | Ashton United | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Bury | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 06/10 | United of Manchester | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Redcar Athletic | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 29/09 | Guiseley AFC | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Shifnal Town FC | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Bamber Bridge | Away | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Workington #7 · 27 pts · Alfreton Town #9 · 23 pts
Workington
Alfreton Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Workington
Alfreton Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws