Ashton United vs Warrington Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • ☀️ 8.4°C, 11 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Betano3.65 | 25.6% | -6.6% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Bet3651.44 | 64.9% | -6.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.53 | 57.4% · No 42.6% | -12.2% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Bet3652.25 | 43.6% · Over 56.4% | -1.9% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Betfair6.50 | 13.2% | -14.2% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Ashton United · Home
Ashton United have won only one of their last five, with three home defeats in that run, including 1-2 against Rylands. Their most recent meeting with Warrington Town ended 1-0 in their favour on 7 Feb 2026.
Warrington Town · Away
Warrington Town have drawn two of their last five and scored in every one of them, including 1-1 at Alfreton Town. They also won the previous away head-to-head 2-1 when hosting, showing this fixture has often stayed close.
Tight H2H Points To Draw
The latest head-to-head finished 1-0, and the two before it were settled by a single goal, so recent meetings between these sides have been narrow. Ashton United's home record of one win, one draw and three losses in their last five, alongside Warrington Town's two draws in five, fits a low-margin contest. Both teams scored in three of the last five for Warrington Town, while Ashton United kept two clean sheets, pointing to a 1-1 type scoreline rather than a clear winner. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Ashton United 1.38 – 1.39 Warrington Town · expected total 2.77
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Ashton United
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ashton United
Warrington Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Ashton United
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Warrington Town
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ashton United at home · Warrington Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ashton United (home)
Warrington Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ashton United 3 wins · 0 draws · Warrington Town 4 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2026 | Ashton United | 1–0 | Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Warrington Town | 2–1 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 26 Jul 2024 | Ashton United | 0–1 | Warrington Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| 08 Apr 2023 | Warrington Town | 3–0 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Ashton United | 2–1 | Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Warrington Town | 1–3 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Ashton United | 0–1 | Warrington Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
📈 Recent Form
Ashton United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rylands | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Avro | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Alfreton Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Leek Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Quorn | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Buxton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Whitby Town | Away | 5–2 | W |
Warrington Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Quorn | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Alfreton Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | Bamber Bridge | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Lancaster City | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Workington | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Marine | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | South Liverpool | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 12/09 | United of Manchester | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 08/09 | Shildon AFC | Home | 4–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Ashton United #18 · 14 pts · Warrington Town #10 · 23 pts
Ashton United
Warrington Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ashton United
Warrington Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws