Workington vs Ashton United
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☁️ 8.5°C, 6 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 62.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 81.1% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 72% · No 28% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 77.8% · Under 22.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Workington · Home
Workington have won three of their last five, including both away victories by the same 2-1 and 2-1 scoreline, though they failed to score in the 0-3 loss at Quorn. Their model expected goals of 2.68 for this fixture is the highest figure in the matchup.
Ashton United · Away
Ashton United have won just once in five and failed to score in the 0-0 draw with Alfreton Town, while their two clean sheets show they can stay compact. Their model expected goals of 1.46 is roughly half of Workington's forecast.
Workington's Home H2H Edge
The latest head-to-head, on 11 Apr 2026, finished 2-1 to Ashton United as hosts, but the two prior meetings tell a different story. Workington won 5-1 at home on 26 Apr 2025 and drew 1-1 in the reverse fixture on 23 Aug 2025. Workington's recent record of 8 goals for and 9 against across five matches, with no clean sheets, points to a game where both sides can score. The evidence supports Workington win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Workington 2.68 – 1.46 Ashton United · expected total 4.14
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Workington
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Workington
Ashton United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Workington
Ashton United
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Workington at home · Ashton United away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Workington (home)
Ashton United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ashton United 2 wins · 2 draws · Workington 2 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Ashton United | 2–1 | Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Workington | 1–1 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Workington | 5–1 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Ashton United | 3–0 | Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Ashton United | 2–2 | Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Workington | 5–0 | Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
📈 Recent Form
Workington
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bury | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Bamber Bridge | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Whitby Town | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Quorn | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 06/10 | Warrington Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/09 | AFC Emley | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Blyth Spartans | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Bury | Away | 1–5 | L |
Ashton United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rylands | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Avro | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Alfreton Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Leek Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Quorn | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Buxton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Whitby Town | Away | 5–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Workington #7 · 27 pts · Ashton United #18 · 14 pts
Workington
Ashton United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Workington
Ashton United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws