Bury vs Avro
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • Gigg Lane • ⛅ 8.8°C, 13 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 54% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 77.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 66.1% · No 33.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 67.2% · Under 32.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Bury · Home
Bury have scored in each of their last five matches, including 5-3 and 3-0 home wins, and their model expected goals of 2.12 is the higher figure in this matchup. The 1-1 draw with Avro on 10 January 2026 is their only blemish in the latest head-to-head.
Avro · Away
Avro have failed to score in two of their last five, both away defeats, and their model expected goals of 1.35 trails Bury's. Their two wins in that run came at home, while the 1-1 draw at Bury in January is their strongest recent away reference.
Bury edge scoring contrast
The latest head-to-head, a 1-1 draw at Bury on 10 January 2026, shows Avro can hold this opponent, and the earlier meetings also finished 1-1 and 1-2. Yet Bury have scored in all five recent matches, totalling 11 goals, while Avro failed to score in two of five and lost all three away games in that run. Bury's model expected goals of 2.12 against Avro's 1.35 supports a home edge without guaranteeing it. The evidence supports Bury win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bury 2.12 – 1.35 Avro · expected total 3.47
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bury
Avro
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Bury
Avro
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bury at home · Avro away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bury (home)
Avro (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Avro 0 wins · 2 draws · Bury 1 win · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Bury | 1–1 | Avro | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| 13 Aug 2025 | Avro | 1–1 | Bury | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Avro | 1–2 | Bury | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Bury
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Workington | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Leek Town | Home | 5–3 | W |
| 24/10 | Prescot Cables | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Harrogate Town | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Harrogate Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Alfreton Town | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 06/10 | Stockton Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | Bromsgrove Sporting | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Workington | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 12/09 | AFC Emley | Home | 4–0 | W |
Avro
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Hyde United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 21/10 | Ashton United | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 17/10 | Ilkeston Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Redcar Athletic | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Guiseley AFC | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 07/10 | Lancaster City | Home | 5–3 | W |
| 26/09 | Dunston UTS | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Gainsborough Trinity | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Witton Albion | Home | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Bury #11 · 22 pts · Avro #6 · 28 pts
Bury
Avro
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bury
Avro
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws