Predictions → England Non League Premier - Northern

Bamber Bridge vs Bury

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☁️ 9.1°C, 7 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available27.7% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available65.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available57.9% · No 42.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available46.9% · Over 53.1% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available13.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Bamber Bridge 34.4% · Draw 27.7% · Bury 37.9%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Bamber Bridge 1.36, Bury 1.44, expected total 2.80.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Bamber Bridge: D-L-L-D-L in their last five matches.
Bury: L-W-W-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bamber Bridge

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1315

Bury

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1351
Bamber BridgeBury
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.30
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
4
2
Elo strength rating
1315
1351

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bamber Bridge

Winless 7
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Bury

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern

Bamber Bridge

2nd worst defence (2.30 conceded/game, season)

Bury

2nd best attack (2.20 goals/game, season) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bamber Bridge at home · Bury away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Bamber Bridge (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–4L
W 2
D 2
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Bury (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Bamber Bridge (home)Bury (away)
W 2
D 2
L 4
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played
8
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.30
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
13.11%
0–0
7.27%
2–2
5.85%
3–3
1.27%
4–4
0.16%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Bamber Bridge

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Gainsborough Trinity Away 1–1 D
17/10 Workington Home 1–2 L
13/10 Warrington Town Home 0–1 L
10/10 Whitby Town Away 0–0 D
03/10 Quorn Home 2–4 L
26/09 Guiseley AFC Away 2–4 L
19/09 Stockton Town Away 2–5 L
12/09 Alfreton Town Home 1–0 W
05/09 Trafford Home 1–3 L
31/08 Rylands Away 1–3 L

Bury

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Workington Home 1–2 L
27/10 Leek Town Home 5–3 W
24/10 Prescot Cables Home 3–0 W
20/10 Harrogate Town Away 1–3 L
17/10 Harrogate Town Home 1–1 D
10/10 Alfreton Town Away 3–2 W
06/10 Stockton Town Away 0–1 L
03/10 Bromsgrove Sporting Home 2–1 W
19/09 Workington Home 5–1 W
12/09 AFC Emley Home 4–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern

Bamber Bridge #22 · 11 pts ·  Bury #11 · 22 pts

Bamber Bridge

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–5D–8L
W 2
D 5
L 8
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards2
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Bury

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–1D–5L
W 7
D 1
L 5
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)3/1
Bamber BridgeBury
W 2
D 5
L 8
W 7
D 1
L 5
Played
15
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.20
Clean sheets
3
5
Failed to score
3
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
3
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
3/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bamber Bridge

5
0-15
3
16-30
2
7
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
10
61-75
2
6
76-90
9
scored conceded

Bury

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
9
3
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws