Predictions → England Non League Premier - Northern

Bury vs Cleethorpes Town

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Gigg Lane • 🌦 7.9°C, 3 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available46% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available70.2% · No 29.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available70% · Under 30% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available8.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Bury 46.0% · Draw 23.3% · Cleethorpes Town 30.7%. Selected outcome: Bury win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Bury 2.01, Cleethorpes Town 1.62, expected total 3.63.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Bury: L-W-W-L-D in their last five matches.
Cleethorpes Town: W-L-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bury

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1351

Cleethorpes Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.60
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1349
BuryCleethorpes Town
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
0.60
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1351
1349

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bury

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Cleethorpes Town

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern

Bury

2nd best attack (2.20 goals/game, season) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Cleethorpes Town

Best defence (0.60 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (9, season)

Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bury at home · Cleethorpes Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Bury (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–2L
W 5
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Cleethorpes Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–1L
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Bury (home)Cleethorpes Town (away)
W 5
L 2
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.60
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.73%
3–1
5.84%
2–0
5.39%
3–2
4.73%
1–0
4.5%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Bury

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Workington Home 1–2 L
27/10 Leek Town Home 5–3 W
24/10 Prescot Cables Home 3–0 W
20/10 Harrogate Town Away 1–3 L
17/10 Harrogate Town Home 1–1 D
10/10 Alfreton Town Away 3–2 W
06/10 Stockton Town Away 0–1 L
03/10 Bromsgrove Sporting Home 2–1 W
19/09 Workington Home 5–1 W
12/09 AFC Emley Home 4–0 W

Cleethorpes Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Avro Home 1–0 W
27/10 Workington Away 2–3 L
20/10 Guiseley AFC Away 1–2 L
10/10 Rylands Home 3–0 W
06/10 Hyde United Home 1–0 W
03/10 Workington Away 1–1 D
26/09 Lancaster City Home 5–1 W
22/09 Redcar Athletic Home 1–1 D
12/09 Ashton United Away 1–0 W
05/09 Newcastle Town Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern

Bury #11 · 22 pts ·  Cleethorpes Town #2 · 33 pts

Bury

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–1D–5L
W 7
D 1
L 5
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)3/1

Cleethorpes Town

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–3D–2L
W 10
D 3
L 2
Played15
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets9
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
BuryCleethorpes Town
W 7
D 1
L 5
W 10
D 3
L 2
Played
13
15
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.60
Clean sheets
5
9
Failed to score
3
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bury

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
9
3
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
5
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Cleethorpes Town

0-15
5
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
5
2
61-75
7
3
76-90
11
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws