Predictions → England Non League Premier - Northern

Lancaster City vs Cleethorpes Town

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☀️ 14.7°C, 5 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available43.4% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available76.1% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available69.4% · No 30.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available68.6% · Under 31.4% —
Correct Score 1-2 Current price not available8.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Lancaster City · Home

Lancaster City have scored just 4 goals across their last 5 matches, failing to score twice, including a 0-0 draw at United of Manchester and a 0-1 loss at AFC Emley. At home they beat Stockton Town 1-0 but lost 1-2 to Leek Town, so their 1.64 model expected goals is a forecast rather than a reflection of recent output.

Cleethorpes Town · Away

Cleethorpes Town have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 8 goals and keeping 3 clean sheets, though both defeats came away from home at Workington (2-3) and Guiseley AFC (1-2). Their 1.9 model expected goals is the higher of the two forecasts.

Cleethorpes Away Record Holds Key

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Cleethorpes Town beat Lancaster City 5-1 on 26 Sep 2026, while the two earlier meetings produced 0-0 and 2-2. Cleethorpes have scored in all 5 recent matches and kept 3 clean sheets, against Lancaster's 4 goals in 5 and 2 blanks. Lancaster's home split of 1 win and 1 loss shows no clear venue edge. The evidence supports Cleethorpes Town win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Lancaster City 1.64 – 1.90 Cleethorpes Town · expected total 3.54

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Lancaster City

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1335

Cleethorpes Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.60
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1349
Lancaster CityCleethorpes Town
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.70
0.60
Best league winning streak this season
5
3
Elo strength rating
1335
1349

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Lancaster City

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Cleethorpes Town

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern

Lancaster City

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Cleethorpes Town

Best defence (0.60 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (9, season)

Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Lancaster City at home · Cleethorpes Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Lancaster City (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–4L
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Cleethorpes Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–1L
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Lancaster City (home)Cleethorpes Town (away)
W 3
D 1
L 4
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played
8
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.60
Clean sheets
2
4
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
8.64%
1–3
5.48%
0–2
5.27%
0–1
4.63%
2–3
4.49%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Cleethorpes Town 1 win · 2 draws · Lancaster City 0 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 3

1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
26 Sep 2026 Cleethorpes Town 5–1 Lancaster City FA Trophy
21 Mar 2026 Lancaster City 0–0 Cleethorpes Town Non League Premier - Northern
08 Nov 2025 Cleethorpes Town 2–2 Lancaster City Non League Premier - Northern

📈 Recent Form

Lancaster City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 United of Manchester Away 0–0 D
24/10 AFC Emley Away 0–1 L
17/10 Leek Town Home 1–2 L
13/10 Stockton Town Home 1–0 W
10/10 Warrington Town Away 2–2 D
07/10 Avro Away 3–5 L
03/10 Ilkeston Town Home 2–1 W
29/09 Whitby Town Away 2–1 W
26/09 Cleethorpes Town Away 1–5 L
19/09 Bradford (Park Avenue) Away 0–1 L

Cleethorpes Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Avro Home 1–0 W
27/10 Workington Away 2–3 L
20/10 Guiseley AFC Away 1–2 L
10/10 Rylands Home 3–0 W
06/10 Hyde United Home 1–0 W
03/10 Workington Away 1–1 D
26/09 Lancaster City Home 5–1 W
22/09 Redcar Athletic Home 1–1 D
12/09 Ashton United Away 1–0 W
05/09 Newcastle Town Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern

Lancaster City #12 · 21 pts ·  Cleethorpes Town #2 · 33 pts

Lancaster City

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–8L
W 6
D 3
L 8
Played17
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets4
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Cleethorpes Town

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–3D–2L
W 10
D 3
L 2
Played15
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets9
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Lancaster CityCleethorpes Town
W 6
D 3
L 8
W 10
D 3
L 2
Played
17
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
0.60
Clean sheets
4
9
Failed to score
4
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Lancaster City

3
0-15
1
4
16-30
3
6
31-45
4
7
46-60
5
6
61-75
5
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Cleethorpes Town

0-15
5
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
5
2
61-75
7
3
76-90
11
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws