Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 16 • Tameside Stadium • 🌦 8°C, 4 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 71.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 91.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 58.7% · Yes 41.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 48.3% · Over 51.7% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 14.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Curzon Ashton · Home
Curzon Ashton have won two of their last five, including a 2-1 home win over Leek Town and a 3-0 away win at Gainsborough Trinity. Their model expected goals of 2.15 for this fixture is the highest figure in the supplied data.
Ilkeston Town · Away
Ilkeston Town have won their last two home matches 1-0 and 2-0 but lost all three away or other recent games, including a 1-3 defeat at Gainsborough Trinity. They failed to score in two of their last five and have a model expected goals of just 0.61 here.
Curzon's edge over Ilkeston
The latest head-to-head is the clearest guide: Curzon Ashton won 0-1 at Ilkeston Town on 15 Nov 2025. Ilkeston's recent away form is weak, with a 1-3 loss at Gainsborough Trinity, while Curzon have scored in four of their last five. Curzon's model expected goals of 2.15 against Ilkeston's 0.61 supports a home-controlled match rather than a high-scoring one. The evidence supports Curzon Ashton win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Curzon Ashton 2.15 – 0.61 Ilkeston Town · expected total 2.76
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Curzon Ashton
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Curzon Ashton
Ilkeston Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Curzon Ashton
Ilkeston Town
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Curzon Ashton at home · Ilkeston Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Curzon Ashton (home)
Ilkeston Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Curzon Ashton 1 win · 0 draws · Ilkeston Town 0 wins · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Ilkeston Town | 0–1 | Curzon Ashton | FA Trophy |
📈 Recent Form
Curzon Ashton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Leek Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Gainsborough Trinity | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Bridlington Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Whitby Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/10 | Rylands | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 10/10 | Hyde United | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Stalybridge Celtic | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lancaster City | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Bradford (Park Avenue) | Home | 1–2 | L |
Ilkeston Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hyde United | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Avro | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Gainsborough Trinity | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 06/10 | Guiseley AFC | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Lancaster City | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Rylands | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Anstey Nomads | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Workington | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Leamington | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Curzon Ashton #5 · 28 pts · Ilkeston Town #20 · 13 pts
Curzon Ashton
Ilkeston Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Curzon Ashton
Ilkeston Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws