Stockton Town vs Curzon Ashton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 18 • 🌦 9.1°C, 11 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 44.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 79% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 79.3% · No 20.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 81.2% · Under 18.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Stockton Town · Home
Stockton Town have won two of their last five, including a 5-0 win at Whitby Town, but also lost 1-3 at home to AFC Emley and 0-1 at Lancaster City. They failed to score in only one of those five matches, though the model expected goals of 2.07 sits below Curzon Ashton's 2.33.
Curzon Ashton · Away
Curzon Ashton have won two of their last five, with a 3-0 win at Gainsborough Trinity and a 2-1 home win over Leek Town, but they lost 0-1 at Whitby Town and 1-5 at Rylands. Their 4-0 win over Stockton Town in the latest head-to-head on 18 Sep 2021 is the clearest historical marker between these sides.
Curzon's 4-0 H2H edge
The latest head-to-head is the most telling angle: Curzon Ashton beat Stockton Town 4-0 on 18 Sep 2021, and the model makes Curzon the stronger attacking side here with 2.33 expected goals against Stockton's 2.07. Stockton's recent 5-0 win at Whitby Town shows they can score, but Curzon also won 3-0 at Gainsborough Trinity, so both teams carry scoring threat. The 79.3% BTTS and 81.2% Over 2.5 picks support an open contest rather than a one-sided repeat of that 4-0. The evidence supports Curzon Ashton win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 10:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Stockton Town 2.07 – 2.33 Curzon Ashton · expected total 4.40
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Stockton Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Stockton Town
Curzon Ashton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Stockton Town
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Curzon Ashton
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Stockton Town at home · Curzon Ashton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Stockton Town (home)
Curzon Ashton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Curzon Ashton 1 win · 0 draws · Stockton Town 0 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2021 | Curzon Ashton | 4–0 | Stockton Town | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Stockton Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Whitby Town | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 17/10 | AFC Emley | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 13/10 | Lancaster City | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | United of Manchester | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Bury | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Hyde United | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Rylands | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Bamber Bridge | Home | 5–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Rylands | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 08/09 | Guiseley AFC | Away | 1–2 | L |
Curzon Ashton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Leek Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Gainsborough Trinity | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Bridlington Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Whitby Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/10 | Rylands | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 10/10 | Hyde United | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Stalybridge Celtic | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lancaster City | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Bradford (Park Avenue) | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Stockton Town #16 · 15 pts · Curzon Ashton #5 · 28 pts
Stockton Town
Curzon Ashton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Stockton Town
Curzon Ashton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws