Curzon Ashton vs United of Manchester
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Tameside Stadium • ☀️ 8.4°C, 11 km/h clear
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.60 (74.0%, Model EV +18.4%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.72 | 58.3% | +0.3% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.22 | 79.3% | -3.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.60 | 74% · No 26% | +18.4% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Marathonbet1.58 | 66.3% · Under 33.7% | +4.8% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betfair7.50 | 8% | -40% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Curzon Ashton · Home
Curzon Ashton have won two of their last five, including a 2-1 home win over Leek Town (2-1) and a 3-0 away win at Gainsborough Trinity (3-0). Their model expected goals of 2.89 for this fixture is the highest figure in the data.
United of Manchester · Away
United of Manchester have drawn three of their last five, with two of those draws finishing 0-0. They failed to score in two of those five matches.
Curzon's Edge in H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 17 Sep 2022, finished 2-3 to Curzon Ashton away from home (2-3). Curzon also scored twice in the earlier meeting, a 1-2 loss at home (1-2), so they have found the net in both recent meetings. United of Manchester's two 0-0 draws in their last five show they can be held, while Curzon's 2-1 win over Leek Town (2-1) is the kind of narrow home result that fits this pick. The evidence supports Curzon Ashton win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 10:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Curzon Ashton 2.89 – 1.51 United of Manchester · expected total 4.40
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Curzon Ashton
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Curzon Ashton
United of Manchester
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Curzon Ashton
United of Manchester
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Curzon Ashton at home · United of Manchester away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Curzon Ashton (home)
United of Manchester (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Curzon Ashton 1 win · 0 draws · United of Manchester 1 win · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2022 | United of Manchester | 2–3 | Curzon Ashton | FA Cup |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Curzon Ashton | 1–2 | United of Manchester | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Curzon Ashton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Leek Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Gainsborough Trinity | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Bridlington Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Whitby Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/10 | Rylands | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 10/10 | Hyde United | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Stalybridge Celtic | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Lancaster City | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Bradford (Park Avenue) | Home | 1–2 | L |
United of Manchester
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Lancaster City | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 27/10 | Quorn | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Whitby Town | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 20/10 | Altrincham | Home | 2–6 | L |
| 17/10 | Altrincham | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 13/10 | AFC Emley | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Stockton Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Alfreton Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | Worksop Town | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Hyde United | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Curzon Ashton #5 · 28 pts · United of Manchester #21 · 12 pts
Curzon Ashton
United of Manchester
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Curzon Ashton
United of Manchester
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws