Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 11 • ⛅ 7.7°C, 9 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.67 (69.4%, Model EV +15.9%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.55 | 62.2% | -3.6% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.16 | 82.5% | -4.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.67 | 69.4% · No 30.6% | +15.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Marathonbet1.59 | 64.5% · Under 35.5% | +2.6% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betfair7.00 | 8.9% | -37.7% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Guiseley AFC · Home
Guiseley AFC have won four of their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and failing to score in none of them. Their most recent meeting with Leek Town ended 1-0 in Guiseley's favour.
Leek Town · Away
Leek Town have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, conceding 11 goals across those matches. They did win the earlier September meeting 4-0, but the latest head-to-head went against them.
Guiseley's Edge in Latest Meeting
The three head-to-heads show how quickly this fixture can swing: Leek Town won 4-0, then Guiseley responded with 1-0 in the latest meeting. Guiseley's recent run of four wins from five, with 11 goals scored and only four conceded, supports a home edge, while Leek Town have conceded 11 in their last five. The model gives Guiseley a 62.4% win probability and a 2.58 expected-goals figure, making a home victory the realistic outcome. The evidence supports Guiseley AFC win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Guiseley AFC 2.58 – 1.37 Leek Town · expected total 3.95
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Guiseley AFC
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Guiseley AFC
Leek Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Guiseley AFC
Leek Town
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Guiseley AFC at home · Leek Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Guiseley AFC (home)
Leek Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Guiseley AFC 1 win · 2 draws · Leek Town 1 win · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec 2025 | Guiseley AFC | 1–0 | Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Leek Town | 4–0 | Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Leek Town | 2–2 | Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 10 Dec 2024 | Guiseley AFC | 1–1 | Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
📈 Recent Form
Guiseley AFC
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Redcar Athletic | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Rylands | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 20/10 | Cleethorpes Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Leiston | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Avro | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Ilkeston Town | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Bradford (Park Avenue) | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 29/09 | Alfreton Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Bamber Bridge | Home | 4–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Hebburn Town | Away | 4–1 | W |
Leek Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Curzon Ashton | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Bury | Away | 3–5 | L |
| 24/10 | Bootle | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Lancaster City | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Ashton United | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Rylands | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 26/09 | Worcester City | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Hyde United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Bromsgrove Sporting | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Redcar Athletic | Away | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Guiseley AFC #3 · 29 pts · Leek Town #19 · 14 pts
Guiseley AFC
Leek Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Guiseley AFC
Leek Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws