Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☀️ 4.9°C, 5 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 55.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 78.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 70.2% · No 29.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 72.8% · Under 27.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Leek Town · Home
Leek Town scored 12 goals across their last five matches, including a 4-1 home win over Bootle and a 2-1 away win at Lancaster City. They failed to score in none of those five games, and the model gives them 2.33 expected goals here.
Ilkeston Town · Away
Ilkeston Town won their last two home matches 1-0 and 2-0 but lost the three before that, including a 0-5 home defeat to Redcar Athletic. They failed to score in two of their last five and managed only 4 goals in total across those games.
Leek's scoring edge at home
The latest head-to-head is a strong reference: Leek Town won 1-3 at Ilkeston Town on 31 Jan 2026. Earlier meetings split by venue, with Leek winning 2-0 away in January 2025 before losing 1-2 at home in September 2025. Leek's five-match run of 12 goals for and no blanks supports the home side's scoring case, while Ilkeston's 4 goals in five games limits their away threat. The evidence supports Leek Town win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Leek Town 2.33 – 1.47 Ilkeston Town · expected total 3.80
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Leek Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Northern
Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Northern teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Leek Town at home · Ilkeston Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Leek Town (home)
Ilkeston Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Ilkeston Town 3 wins · 0 draws · Leek Town 4 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Ilkeston Town | 1–3 | Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Leek Town | 1–2 | Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Ilkeston Town | 0–2 | Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Leek Town | 1–3 | Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| 03 Nov 2020 | Ilkeston Town | 2–3 | Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| 22 Feb 2020 | Ilkeston Town | 2–0 | Leek Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| 10 Sep 2019 | Leek Town | 2–1 | Ilkeston Town | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
📈 Recent Form
Leek Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Curzon Ashton | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Bury | Away | 3–5 | L |
| 24/10 | Bootle | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Lancaster City | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Ashton United | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Rylands | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 26/09 | Worcester City | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Hyde United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Bromsgrove Sporting | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Redcar Athletic | Away | 2–3 | L |
Ilkeston Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hyde United | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Avro | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Gainsborough Trinity | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Redcar Athletic | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 06/10 | Guiseley AFC | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Lancaster City | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Rylands | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Anstey Nomads | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Workington | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Leamington | Away | 1–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Northern
Leek Town #19 · 14 pts · Ilkeston Town #20 · 13 pts
Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Northern predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws