Stourbridge vs Alvechurch
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 18 • 🌦 8.2°C, 4 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 25.2% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 66.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 65.6% · No 34.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 36.7% · Over 63.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 11.2% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Stourbridge · Home
Stourbridge have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and keeping 2 clean sheets, including a 4-1 home win over Kettering Town (4-1). Their model expected goals of 1.73 for this fixture reflect that strong recent scoring output.
Alvechurch · Away
Alvechurch are unbeaten in their last 5, with 2 wins and 3 draws, and they have scored in every one of those matches, including a 4-4 draw at Stratford Town (4-4). Their model expected goals of 1.54 for this fixture point to a steady attacking threat.
H2H draws point to stalemate
The latest head-to-head between these sides finished 0-0 at Alvechurch (0-0), and the meeting before that ended 1-1 at Stourbridge (1-1). Both teams arrive scoring regularly, with Stourbridge on 10 goals and Alvechurch on 15 across their last 5 matches, so a share of the points is realistic rather than a stretch. The contract's correct score of 1-1 fits that pattern of tight, level H2H results. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Stourbridge 1.73 – 1.54 Alvechurch · expected total 3.27
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Stourbridge
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Stourbridge
Alvechurch
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Stourbridge
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Alvechurch
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Southern Central teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Stourbridge at home · Alvechurch away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Stourbridge (home)
Alvechurch (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Alvechurch 4 wins · 2 draws · Stourbridge 4 wins · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Alvechurch | 0–0 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Stourbridge | 1–1 | Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Alvechurch | 1–2 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Stourbridge | 1–0 | Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Stourbridge | 0–1 | Alvechurch | FA Trophy |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Alvechurch | 1–2 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Alvechurch | 1–0 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Stourbridge | 1–0 | Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Stourbridge | 0–2 | Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 06 Aug 2022 | Alvechurch | 3–0 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
📈 Recent Form
Stourbridge
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Kettering Town | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Real Bedford | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Loughborough University | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Bury Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Worcester City | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Leighton Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Racing Club Warwick | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 29/09 | Alvechurch | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | Rushall Olympic | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Bedford | Home | 1–4 | L |
Alvechurch
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Leiston | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Anstey Nomads | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Stratford Town | Away | 4–4 | D |
| 20/10 | Spalding United | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Spalding United | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 13/10 | Halesowen Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Bury Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | Cambridge City | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Stourbridge | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | Bourne Town | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Stourbridge #11 · 22 pts · Alvechurch #5 · 26 pts
Stourbridge
Alvechurch
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Stourbridge
Alvechurch
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern Central predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws