Predictions → England Non League Premier - Southern Central

Bury Town vs Bishop's Stortford

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☁️ 9.2°C, 1 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available67.6% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available88.7% —
BTTS No Current price not available52.9% · Yes 47.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available46.1% · Over 53.9% —
Correct Score 2-0 Current price not available12.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Bury Town · Home

Bury Town have scored twice in three of their last five matches, including a 2-2 draw with Banbury United and a 2-0 win over Stourbridge. Their model expected goals of 2.1 for this fixture is the highest figure in the supplied data.

Bishop's Stortford · Away

Bishop's Stortford have lost four of their last five, conceding 12 goals across that run, including a 1-4 defeat at Anstey Nomads. Their model expected goals of 0.75 is well below Bury Town's figure.

Bury's H2H Edge Holds

The latest head-to-head is the most telling angle: Bury Town won 2-0 at home against Bishop's Stortford on 7 Mar 2026, and they also won 2-1 away in the most recent meeting on 29 Sep 2026. Bishop's Stortford have lost four of their last five, conceding 12 goals, while Bury Town have scored seven in five. Bury Town's model expected goals of 2.1 against Bishop's Stortford's 0.75 supports a home advantage. The evidence supports Bury Town win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Bury Town 2.10 – 0.75 Bishop's Stortford · expected total 2.85

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bury Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season6
Elo strength rating1308

Bishop's Stortford

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1295
Bury TownBishop's Stortford
Goals scored (season avg)
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.90
Best league winning streak this season
6
4
Elo strength rating
1308
1295

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bury Town

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Bishop's Stortford

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern Central

Bury Town

Best clean sheets (6, season)

Bishop's Stortford

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Southern Central teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bury Town at home · Bishop's Stortford away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Bury Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–1L
W 5
D 1
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

Bishop's Stortford (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–6L
W 1
L 6
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Bury Town (home)Bishop's Stortford (away)
W 5
D 1
L 1
W 1
L 6
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
2.30
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–0
12.86%
1–0
11.33%
2–1
9.61%
3–0
9.01%
3–1
6.73%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bishop's Stortford 0 wins · 1 draw · Bury Town 2 wins · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 1 of 3

1
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
29 Sep 2026 Bishop's Stortford 1–2 Bury Town Non League Premier - Southern Central
07 Mar 2026 Bury Town 2–0 Bishop's Stortford Non League Premier - Southern Central
22 Nov 2025 Bishop's Stortford 0–0 Bury Town Non League Premier - Southern Central

📈 Recent Form

Bury Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Banbury United Home 2–2 D
24/10 Hitchin Town Away 1–5 L
20/10 Real Bedford Away 2–2 D
17/10 Stourbridge Home 2–0 W
13/10 Needham Market Home 0–5 L
10/10 Alvechurch Away 1–0 W
06/10 Spalding United Away 0–4 L
03/10 Spalding United Home 1–1 D
29/09 Bishop's Stortford Away 2–1 W
26/09 St Albans City Away 1–4 L

Bishop's Stortford

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Anstey Nomads Away 1–4 L
27/10 Stamford Home 0–1 L
24/10 Real Bedford Home 3–1 W
20/10 Needham Market Away 1–2 L
17/10 Racing Club Warwick Home 2–4 L
10/10 Redditch United Away 1–3 L
29/09 Bury Town Home 1–2 L
26/09 Hanworth Villa Away 2–3 L
19/09 Stamford Away 3–0 W
12/09 Leamington Home 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern Central

Bury Town #2 · 32 pts ·  Bishop's Stortford #19 · 13 pts

Bury Town

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–2D–3L
W 10
D 2
L 3
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets6
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2

Bishop's Stortford

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–10L
W 4
D 1
L 10
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Bury TownBishop's Stortford
W 10
D 2
L 3
W 4
D 1
L 10
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.90
Clean sheets
6
3
Failed to score
2
5
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/2
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bury Town

3
0-15
3
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
6
4
46-60
7
4
61-75
2
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Bishop's Stortford

0-15
3
16-30
2
7
31-45
2
9
46-60
4
2
61-75
6
8
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Southern Central predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws