Predictions → England Non League Premier - Southern Central

Bromsgrove Sporting vs Leiston

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • ☁️ 8.6°C, 7 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available59.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available80.3% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available66.6% · No 33.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available70.2% · Under 29.8% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.4% —

🧠 Match Preview

Bromsgrove Sporting · Home

Bromsgrove Sporting are unbeaten across their last five matches, winning 3 and drawing 2 while scoring 11 goals, including a 5-1 win at Leighton Town. Their model expected goals of 2.34 for this fixture reflect that scoring output.

Leiston · Away

Leiston have lost 3 of their last five, conceding 12 goals, and failed to score in 3 of those matches. Their model expected goals of 1.31 is the lower figure in this matchup.

Bromsgrove's H2H Edge at Home

The latest head-to-head, on 14 Feb 2026, finished 1-1 at Leiston, while Bromsgrove won the prior home meeting 2-1. Bromsgrove's unbeaten five-match run contrasts with Leiston's 3 defeats and 3 scoreless matches in five. Leiston did win 0-1 at Bromsgrove in the earlier home fixture, so the venue split is not one-sided. The evidence supports Bromsgrove Sporting win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Bromsgrove Sporting 2.34 – 1.31 Leiston · expected total 3.64

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bromsgrove Sporting

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1388

Leiston

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1336
Bromsgrove SportingLeiston
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
5
2
Elo strength rating
1388
1336

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bromsgrove Sporting

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Leiston

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern Central

Bromsgrove Sporting

2nd best defence (1.00 conceded/game, season) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Leiston

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Southern Central teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bromsgrove Sporting at home · Leiston away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Bromsgrove Sporting (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–1L
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Leiston (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–3L
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Bromsgrove Sporting (home)Leiston (away)
W 4
D 3
L 1
W 2
D 3
L 3
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.10
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.43%
3–1
7.35%
2–0
7.23%
3–0
5.63%
1–0
5.38%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bromsgrove Sporting 2 wins · 3 draws · Leiston 3 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 5 of 8

2
3
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
14 Feb 2026 Leiston 1–1 Bromsgrove Sporting Non League Premier - Southern Central
01 Nov 2025 Bromsgrove Sporting 2–1 Leiston Non League Premier - Southern Central
18 Jan 2025 Bromsgrove Sporting 0–1 Leiston Non League Premier - Southern Central
09 Nov 2024 Leiston 0–0 Bromsgrove Sporting Non League Premier - Southern Central
16 Dec 2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 0–0 Leiston Non League Premier - Southern Central
19 Aug 2023 Leiston 2–3 Bromsgrove Sporting Non League Premier - Southern Central
18 Mar 2023 Leiston 3–2 Bromsgrove Sporting Non League Premier - Southern Central
15 Oct 2022 Bromsgrove Sporting 1–7 Leiston Non League Premier - Southern Central

📈 Recent Form

Bromsgrove Sporting

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Leighton Town Away 5–1 W
27/10 Stratford Town Home 2–2 D
24/10 Anstey Nomads Away 1–0 W
17/10 Banbury United Home 1–1 D
13/10 Kettering Town Home 2–1 W
10/10 Real Bedford Away 1–1 D
03/10 Bury Away 1–2 L
29/09 Leamington Home 1–1 D
26/09 Racing Club Warwick Away 1–0 W
22/09 Stratford Town Away 3–2 W

Leiston

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Alvechurch Home 1–3 L
27/10 Peterborough Sports Away 5–2 W
20/10 Kettering Town Away 0–4 L
17/10 Guiseley AFC Home 0–3 L
10/10 Racing Club Warwick Away 0–0 D
03/10 Coventry United Home 3–1 W
29/09 Real Bedford Away 2–3 L
26/09 Dartford Home 0–3 L
22/09 Peterborough Sports Home 0–2 L
19/09 Hitchin Town Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern Central

Bromsgrove Sporting #3 · 31 pts ·  Leiston #15 · 15 pts

Bromsgrove Sporting

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–4D–1L
W 9
D 4
L 1
Played14
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Leiston

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–6L
W 4
D 3
L 6
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
Bromsgrove SportingLeiston
W 9
D 4
L 1
W 4
D 3
L 6
Played
14
13
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.00
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bromsgrove Sporting

2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
10
4
61-75
4
2
76-90
6
scored conceded

Leiston

5
0-15
2
4
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
5
5
61-75
2
3
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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