Bury Town vs Kettering Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 10 • ☀️ 8°C, 10 km/h clear
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.52 (74.5%, Model EV +13.2%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano2.22 | 44.6% | -1% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Betfair1.25 | 76.4% | -4.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.57 | 74.5% · No 25.5% | +17% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Marathonbet1.64 | 63.4% · Under 36.6% | +4% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Betfair8.00 | 8.3% | -33.6% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Bury Town · Home
Bury Town's recent record is mixed: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in five, with 7 scored and 14 conceded. At home they beat Stourbridge 2-0 but lost to Needham Market 0-5 and drew 2-2 with Banbury United.
Kettering Town · Away
Kettering Town scored 15 goals across their last five, including 6-2 over Quorn and 4-0 over Leiston. Their two defeats both came away, 1-4 at Stourbridge and 1-2 at Bromsgrove Sporting.
Home Edge in High-Scoring Fixture
The latest head-to-head, on 25 Apr 2026, finished 0-1 to Kettering Town, while the earlier meeting ended 3-3. Bury Town's model expected goals of 2.3 sit above Kettering Town's 1.72, and the contract's correct score of 2-1 fits a home side that scored twice in three of its last five. Kettering Town's away defeats show they can be beaten on the road despite scoring freely. The evidence supports Bury Town win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bury Town 2.30 – 1.72 Kettering Town · expected total 4.02
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Bury Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bury Town
Kettering Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Bury Town
Kettering Town
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Southern Central teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bury Town at home · Kettering Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bury Town (home)
Kettering Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bury Town 0 wins · 1 draw · Kettering Town 1 win · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Bury Town | 0–1 | Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Kettering Town | 3–3 | Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
📈 Recent Form
Bury Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Banbury United | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Hitchin Town | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 20/10 | Real Bedford | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Stourbridge | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Needham Market | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 10/10 | Alvechurch | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Spalding United | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 03/10 | Spalding United | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/09 | Bishop's Stortford | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | St Albans City | Away | 1–4 | L |
Kettering Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Stourbridge | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 27/10 | Rushall Olympic | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Quorn | Home | 6–2 | W |
| 20/10 | Leiston | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Bromsgrove Sporting | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Halesowen Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Worcester City | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 29/09 | Anstey Nomads | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Matlock Town | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Rushall Olympic | Away | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Bury Town #2 · 32 pts · Kettering Town #7 · 25 pts
Bury Town
Kettering Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bury Town
Kettering Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern Central predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws