Leiston vs Real Bedford
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☁️ 9.6°C, 1 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | Current price not available | 25.1% | — |
| Double Chance | X2 | Current price not available | 62.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 66.4% · No 33.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 35.9% · Over 64.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Current price not available | 11% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Leiston · Home
Leiston have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including home defeats of 1-3 to Alvechurch and 0-3 to Guiseley AFC. Their one bright result was a 5-2 away win at Peterborough Sports, but the model gives them 1.65 expected goals here.
Real Bedford · Away
Real Bedford have also won once in five, with the 4-0 win at Stamford standing out against home defeats of 0-1 to Stourbridge and 1-4 at Worcester City. Their model expected goals of 1.66 are almost identical to Leiston's.
Tight H2H Points To Draw
The latest head-to-head, a 3-2 Real Bedford win on 29 Sep 2026, was decided by a single goal, and the two earlier meetings also finished 0-1 and 1-0. Both sides have one win, one draw and three losses from five, with Leiston scoring 6 and conceding 12 while Real Bedford have 8 and 10. Leiston failed to score in three of those five, so a low-scoring, evenly matched contest is realistic. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Leiston 1.65 – 1.66 Real Bedford · expected total 3.31
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Leiston
Real Bedford
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Leiston
Real Bedford
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Southern Central teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Leiston at home · Real Bedford away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Leiston (home)
Real Bedford (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Leiston 2 wins · 0 draws · Real Bedford 1 win · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Real Bedford | 3–2 | Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Real Bedford | 0–1 | Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Leiston | 1–0 | Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
📈 Recent Form
Leiston
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Alvechurch | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Peterborough Sports | Away | 5–2 | W |
| 20/10 | Kettering Town | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Guiseley AFC | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Racing Club Warwick | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 03/10 | Coventry United | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Real Bedford | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 26/09 | Dartford | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 22/09 | Peterborough Sports | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Hitchin Town | Away | 2–1 | W |
Real Bedford
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Worcester City | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 27/10 | Stourbridge | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Bishop's Stortford | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 20/10 | Bury Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Stamford | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Bromsgrove Sporting | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Chesham United | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 29/09 | Leiston | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 26/09 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 22/09 | Stourbridge | Away | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Leiston #15 · 15 pts · Real Bedford #1 · 32 pts
Leiston
Real Bedford
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Leiston
Real Bedford
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern Central predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws