Stamford vs Needham Market
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☁️ 13.7°C, 3 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 51.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 66.1% · No 33.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 66.4% · Under 33.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Stamford · Home
Stamford have failed to score in four of their last five matches, including home defeats of 0-4 to Halesowen Town and 0-4 to Real Bedford, with a 0-0 draw against Stratford Town the only home point in that run. Their sole win was a 1-0 away result at Bishop's Stortford, leaving just 1 goal scored across those five games.
Needham Market · Away
Needham Market have scored in four of their last five, opening with a 3-3 draw at Redditch United and adding 2-1 wins over Bishop's Stortford and at Leamington. The latest head-to-head, at Needham Market on 29 Sep 2026, finished 4-0, though Stamford won the prior meeting 1-0.
Needham's Scoring Edge
The clearest angle is the contrast in recent scoring: Stamford scored 1 goal in five matches and failed to score four times, while Needham Market found the net 8 times over the same span. The latest head-to-head supports that gap, with Needham Market winning 4-0 at home, and the model gives them 2.04 expected goals against Stamford's 1.39. Needham Market have drawn twice and lost once in five, so this is not a dominant run, but the opponent's scoring record makes the away side's edge plausible. The evidence supports Needham Market win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Stamford 1.39 – 2.04 Needham Market · expected total 3.43
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Stamford
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Stamford
Needham Market
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Stamford
Needham Market
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Southern Central teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Stamford at home · Needham Market away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Stamford (home)
Needham Market (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Needham Market 3 wins · 0 draws · Stamford 2 wins · avg 3.2 goals · BTTS in 1 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Needham Market | 4–0 | Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Stamford | 1–0 | Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Needham Market | 4–1 | Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 09 Apr 2024 | Needham Market | 0–3 | Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 24 Oct 2023 | Stamford | 0–3 | Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
📈 Recent Form
Stamford
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Halesowen Town | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 27/10 | Bishop's Stortford | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Hitchin Town | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Real Bedford | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 13/10 | Stratford Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Banbury United | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 29/09 | Needham Market | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 26/09 | Loughborough University | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Bishop's Stortford | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Alvechurch | Away | 0–4 | L |
Needham Market
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Redditch United | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 27/10 | Leighton Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Bishop's Stortford | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Leamington | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Bury Town | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Anstey Nomads | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Rushall Olympic | Away | 3–5 | L |
| 29/09 | Stamford | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Canvey Island | Away | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Stamford #22 · 4 pts · Needham Market #8 · 25 pts
Stamford
Needham Market
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Stamford
Needham Market
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern Central predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws