Needham Market vs Stourbridge
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • ☁️ 8.6°C, 3 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 47.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.9% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 58.7% · No 41.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 55.9% · Under 44.1% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.6% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Needham Market · Home
Needham Market have scored in four of their last five, including a 3-3 draw at Redditch United (3-3) and a 2-1 home win over Bishop's Stortford (2-1). They failed to score only once in that run, against Wingate & Finchley (0-2).
Stourbridge · Away
Stourbridge won four of five, with two clean sheets, but their one defeat was a 0-2 loss at Bury Town (0-2). They also won 4-1 at home to Kettering Town (4-1).
Needham's Home Edge in H2H
The latest head-to-head is the telling angle: Needham Market won 1-0 at Stourbridge on 15 Apr 2026 (0-1), and the previous meeting at this venue finished 3-0 to Needham (3-0). The model gives Needham Market 1.71 expected goals against Stourbridge's 1.22, and the 2-1 correct score fits a home side that scored in four of five recent matches. Stourbridge's strong run included two clean sheets, so this is not a form mismatch, but the H2H pattern and home expected-goals edge make the primary pick realistic. The evidence supports Needham Market win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Needham Market 1.71 – 1.22 Stourbridge · expected total 2.93
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Needham Market
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Needham Market
Stourbridge
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Needham Market
Stourbridge
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 22 Non League Premier - Southern Central teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Needham Market at home · Stourbridge away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Needham Market (home)
Stourbridge (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Needham Market 4 wins · 2 draws · Stourbridge 1 win · avg 1.7 goals · BTTS in 2 of 7
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2026 | Stourbridge | 0–1 | Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Needham Market | 3–0 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 05 Mar 2024 | Stourbridge | 1–1 | Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 09 Sep 2023 | Needham Market | 1–0 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 03 Dec 2022 | Stourbridge | 0–0 | Needham Market | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 08 Oct 2022 | Needham Market | 0–1 | Stourbridge | FA Trophy |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Needham Market | 3–1 | Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
📈 Recent Form
Needham Market
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Redditch United | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 27/10 | Leighton Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Bishop's Stortford | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Leamington | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Bury Town | Away | 5–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Anstey Nomads | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Rushall Olympic | Away | 3–5 | L |
| 29/09 | Stamford | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Canvey Island | Away | 3–0 | W |
Stourbridge
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Kettering Town | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Real Bedford | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Loughborough University | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Bury Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Worcester City | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Leighton Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Racing Club Warwick | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 29/09 | Alvechurch | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | Rushall Olympic | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Bedford | Home | 1–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern Central
Needham Market #8 · 25 pts · Stourbridge #11 · 22 pts
Needham Market
Stourbridge
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Needham Market
Stourbridge
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern Central predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws