Predictions → England Non League Premier - Southern South

Basingstoke Town vs Hanworth Villa

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • 🌤 10.8°C, 26 km/h mostly clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available25.7% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available64.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available64.1% · No 35.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available38.8% · Over 61.2% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available11.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Basingstoke Town · Home

Basingstoke Town have lost four of their last five, including a 0-2 home defeat to Uxbridge and a 3-4 reverse at Chertsey Town, scoring only six goals across that run. Their model expected goals of 1.55 for this fixture is modest rather than dominant.

Hanworth Villa · Away

Hanworth Villa are unbeaten in four of five, drawing 2-2 at Havant & Wville and 1-1 with Chippenham Town, and they failed to score in none of those matches. Their model expected goals of 1.62 is the higher of the two forecasts.

H2H Splits And Villa's Draw Habit

The latest head-to-head, on 25 Mar 2023, finished 0-1 to Hanworth Villa at Basingstoke, while the earlier meeting went 0-4 the other way, so this pairing has produced away wins rather than home comfort. Hanworth Villa's recent run includes two draws from five, and Basingstoke Town have lost four of five, which keeps a share of the points realistic. Both sides scored in the 3-4 and 2-2 results, supporting a 1-1 correct score at 11.7%. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Basingstoke Town 1.55 – 1.62 Hanworth Villa · expected total 3.16

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Basingstoke Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1294

Hanworth Villa

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1411
Basingstoke TownHanworth Villa
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.10
1.20
Best league winning streak this season
4
2
Elo strength rating
1294
1411

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Basingstoke Town

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Hanworth Villa

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern South

Basingstoke Town

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Hanworth Villa

2nd best attack (2.10 goals/game, season) Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 19 Non League Premier - Southern South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Basingstoke Town at home · Hanworth Villa away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Basingstoke Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–2L
W 3
D 2
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Hanworth Villa (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–1L
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Basingstoke Town (home)Hanworth Villa (away)
W 3
D 2
L 2
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
0.90
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
11.66%
2–2
6.63%
0–0
5.29%
3–3
1.84%
4–4
0.29%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Basingstoke Town 1 win · 0 draws · Hanworth Villa 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Mar 2023 Basingstoke Town 0–1 Hanworth Villa Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
27 Aug 2022 Hanworth Villa 0–4 Basingstoke Town Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

📈 Recent Form

Basingstoke Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Chertsey Town Away 3–4 L
27/10 Uxbridge Home 0–2 L
24/10 Plymouth Parkway Home 2–0 W
17/10 Gosport Borough Away 0–4 L
13/10 Havant & Wville Away 1–4 L
10/10 Malvern Town Home 4–1 W
29/09 Uxbridge Away 1–2 L
26/09 Poole Town Away 0–1 L
19/09 Gosport Borough Home 1–1 D
12/09 Gloucester City Away 1–1 D

Hanworth Villa

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Plymouth Parkway Home 4–2 W
27/10 Chichester City Away 2–1 W
24/10 Enfield Town Away 1–5 L
20/10 Chippenham Town Home 1–1 D
17/10 Havant & Wville Away 2–2 D
13/10 Bracknell Town Away 4–1 W
10/10 Gloucester City Home 1–3 L
03/10 Leatherhead Away 0–1 L
29/09 Chichester City Home 2–1 W
26/09 Bishop's Stortford Home 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South

Basingstoke Town #15 · 15 pts ·  Hanworth Villa #2 · 30 pts

Basingstoke Town

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–8L
W 4
D 3
L 8
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards1
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Hanworth Villa

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–3D–3L
W 9
D 3
L 3
Played15
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Basingstoke TownHanworth Villa
W 4
D 3
L 8
W 9
D 3
L 3
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.20
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Basingstoke Town

4
0-15
1
7
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
4
5
76-90
8
scored conceded

Hanworth Villa

3
0-15
6
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
9
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws