Predictions → England Non League Premier - Southern South

Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 10 • ⛅ 9.9°C, 14 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Betano1.9547% -8.4%
Double Chance 12 Betfair1.2276.8% -6.3%
BTTS Yes Betano1.4768.8% · No 31.2% +1.1%
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Bet3651.5064% · Under 36% -4%
Correct Score 1-2 Marathonbet7.508.6% -35.5%

🧠 Match Preview

Bracknell Town · Home

Bracknell Town have lost four of their last five, conceding 14 goals across that run, including a 1-3 home defeat to Gosport Borough and a 1-4 home loss to Hanworth Villa. Their only win in that stretch was a 1-0 home success over Chichester City, and the model gives them 1.63 expected goals here.

Chertsey Town · Away

Chertsey Town have won three of their last five, scoring 12 goals, with a 4-3 home win over Basingstoke Town and a 4-0 away win at Takeley. They also drew 2-2 at Poole Town, and the model gives them 1.86 expected goals for this fixture.

Chertsey's H2H and scoring edge

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Chertsey Town won 2-4 at Bracknell Town on 28 Feb 2026, and the two meetings before that produced a 1-1 draw and a 3-1 Chertsey home win. Bracknell's recent home form includes the 1-3 loss to Gosport Borough and the 1-4 loss to Hanworth Villa, while Chertsey scored four at Takeley and four against Basingstoke Town. The model's 1-2 correct score and 68.8% BTTS figure fit a fixture where both sides have been scoring. The evidence supports Chertsey Town win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Bracknell Town 1.63 – 1.86 Chertsey Town · expected total 3.49

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bracknell Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1278

Chertsey Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1381
Bracknell TownChertsey Town
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.20
1.60
Best league winning streak this season
4
4
Elo strength rating
1278
1381

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bracknell Town

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Chertsey Town

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern South

Bracknell Town

2nd worst defence (2.20 conceded/game, season)

Chertsey Town

Best attack (2.20 goals/game, season)

Rank among 19 Non League Premier - Southern South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bracknell Town at home · Chertsey Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Bracknell Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–2L
W 4
D 1
L 2
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Chertsey Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–1L
W 2
D 3
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Bracknell Town (home)Chertsey Town (away)
W 4
D 1
L 2
W 2
D 3
L 1
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.80
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
8.62%
1–3
5.34%
0–2
5.28%
0–1
4.76%
2–3
4.36%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bracknell Town 2 wins · 3 draws · Chertsey Town 4 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 6 of 9

2
3
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
28 Feb 2026 Bracknell Town 2–4 Chertsey Town Non League Premier - Southern South
18 Oct 2025 Chertsey Town 1–1 Bracknell Town Non League Premier - Southern South
29 Mar 2025 Chertsey Town 3–1 Bracknell Town Non League Premier - Southern South
24 Sep 2024 Bracknell Town 1–1 Chertsey Town Non League Premier - Southern South
05 Feb 2022 Bracknell Town 0–1 Chertsey Town Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
26 Oct 2021 Chertsey Town 0–3 Bracknell Town Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
06 Oct 2020 Chertsey Town 1–2 Bracknell Town Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
18 Jan 2020 Bracknell Town 0–0 Chertsey Town Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
19 Oct 2019 Chertsey Town 2–1 Bracknell Town Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

📈 Recent Form

Bracknell Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Evesham United Away 2–3 L
27/10 Gosport Borough Home 1–3 L
20/10 Taunton Town Away 0–4 L
17/10 Chichester City Home 1–0 W
13/10 Hanworth Villa Home 1–4 L
10/10 Poole Town Away 0–1 L
30/09 Gosport Borough Away 1–1 D
19/09 Havant & Wville Home 2–1 W
12/09 Wimborne Town Away 0–2 L
05/09 Ramsgate Away 0–1 L

Chertsey Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Basingstoke Town Home 4–3 W
27/10 Poole Town Away 2–2 D
24/10 Takeley Away 4–0 W
20/10 Evesham United Home 2–0 W
17/10 Plymouth Parkway Away 0–2 L
13/10 Hanwell Town Away 1–1 D
10/10 Chippenham Town Home 2–2 D
03/10 Sheppey United Away 2–0 W
29/09 Poole Town Home 1–3 L
22/09 Chichester City Away 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South

Bracknell Town #18 · 14 pts ·  Chertsey Town #8 · 23 pts

Bracknell Town

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–9L
W 4
D 2
L 9
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score5
Yellow cards2
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Chertsey Town

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–5D–3L
W 6
D 5
L 3
Played14
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards1
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Bracknell TownChertsey Town
W 4
D 2
L 9
W 6
D 5
L 3
Played
15
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
2.20
1.60
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
5
0
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
2
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bracknell Town

3
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
2
9
76-90
scored conceded

Chertsey Town

3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
5
4
46-60
9
6
61-75
8
4
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws