Predictions → England Non League Premier - Southern South

Chertsey Town vs Chichester City

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 18 • 🌦 10.4°C, 1 km/h, 0.3mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available57% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available80.9% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available78.6% · No 21.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available83% · Under 17% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available7.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Chertsey Town · Home

Chertsey Town have scored 12 goals across their last five matches, including a 4-3 home win over Basingstoke Town and a 4-0 away win at Takeley. They failed to score only once in that run, a 0-2 loss at Plymouth Parkway.

Chichester City · Away

Chichester City have won three of their last five, with away wins at Frome Town (3-2) and Gosport Borough (2-0). They failed to score in the 0-1 loss at Bracknell Town.

Chertsey edge high-scoring H2H

The latest head-to-head between these sides finished 2-2 at Chichester City, showing both teams can score in this matchup. Chertsey Town's recent 4-3 win over Basingstoke Town and Chichester City's 3-2 win at Frome Town point to another open contest. The model gives Chertsey Town a home expected-goals figure of 2.77 against 1.8 for Chichester City, supporting a home win at 57%. The evidence supports Chertsey Town win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 22:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Chertsey Town 2.77 – 1.80 Chichester City · expected total 4.57

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Chertsey Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Best league winning streak this season4
Elo strength rating1381

Chichester City

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1369
Chertsey TownChichester City
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.70
Best league winning streak this season
4
3
Elo strength rating
1381
1369

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Chertsey Town

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Chichester City

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern South

Chertsey Town

Best attack (2.20 goals/game, season)

Chichester City

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 19 Non League Premier - Southern South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chertsey Town at home · Chichester City away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Chertsey Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–2L
W 4
D 2
L 2
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0

Chichester City (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–4L
W 4
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Chertsey Town (home)Chichester City (away)
W 4
D 2
L 2
W 4
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
2.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.90
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
7.34%
3–1
6.78%
3–2
6.1%
4–1
4.7%
4–2
4.23%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chertsey Town 0 wins · 1 draw · Chichester City 0 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Sep 2026 Chichester City 2–2 Chertsey Town Non League Premier - Southern South

📈 Recent Form

Chertsey Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Basingstoke Town Home 4–3 W
27/10 Poole Town Away 2–2 D
24/10 Takeley Away 4–0 W
20/10 Evesham United Home 2–0 W
17/10 Plymouth Parkway Away 0–2 L
13/10 Hanwell Town Away 1–1 D
10/10 Chippenham Town Home 2–2 D
03/10 Sheppey United Away 2–0 W
29/09 Poole Town Home 1–3 L
22/09 Chichester City Away 2–2 D

Chichester City

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Frome Town Away 3–2 W
27/10 Hanworth Villa Home 1–2 L
24/10 Gosport Borough Away 2–0 W
20/10 Berkhamsted Home 3–1 W
17/10 Bracknell Town Away 0–1 L
13/10 Sholing Away 3–2 W
10/10 Plymouth Parkway Home 3–1 W
29/09 Hanworth Villa Away 1–2 L
26/09 Thame United Away 2–1 W
22/09 Chertsey Town Home 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South

Chertsey Town #8 · 23 pts ·  Chichester City #6 · 25 pts

Chertsey Town

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–5D–3L
W 6
D 5
L 3
Played14
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards1
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Chichester City

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–1D–6L
W 8
D 1
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Chertsey TownChichester City
W 6
D 5
L 3
W 8
D 1
L 6
Played
14
15
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.70
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
0
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chertsey Town

3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
5
4
46-60
9
6
61-75
8
4
76-90
6
scored conceded

Chichester City

2
0-15
4
5
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
7
61-75
9
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws