Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • ⛅ 9.2°C, 12 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 60.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 81.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 66.1% · No 33.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 70.5% · Under 29.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Plymouth Parkway · Home
Plymouth Parkway have won three of their last five, including home wins over Gloucester City and Chertsey Town by the same 2-0 scoreline. Their two defeats both came away, so the home venue split is the clearest pattern in their record.
Chertsey Town · Away
Chertsey Town have scored 12 goals in five matches but lost the latest H2H at Plymouth Parkway, failing to score in that 2-0 defeat. Their away form is mixed, with a draw at Poole Town and a win at Takeley.
Home edge backed by H2H
The latest H2H is the most telling angle: Plymouth Parkway beat Chertsey Town 2-0 at home, and Chertsey failed to score in that meeting. Plymouth Parkway also kept clean sheets in two of their last five, while Chertsey conceded seven across the same span. The model gives Plymouth Parkway 2.39 expected goals against Chertsey's 1.27, supporting a home win rather than a repeat of Chertsey's heavier scoring days. The evidence supports Plymouth Parkway win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Plymouth Parkway 2.39 – 1.27 Chertsey Town · expected total 3.66
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Plymouth Parkway
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Plymouth Parkway
Chertsey Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern South
Plymouth Parkway
Chertsey Town
Rank among 19 Non League Premier - Southern South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Plymouth Parkway at home · Chertsey Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Plymouth Parkway (home)
Chertsey Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Chertsey Town 0 wins · 0 draws · Plymouth Parkway 1 win · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Plymouth Parkway | 2–0 | Chertsey Town | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Plymouth Parkway
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hanworth Villa | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 27/10 | Gloucester City | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Basingstoke Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Chertsey Town | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Wimborne Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Chichester City | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Horsham | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Gloucester City | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Bath City | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 22/09 | Frome Town | Home | 2–0 | W |
Chertsey Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Basingstoke Town | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 27/10 | Poole Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Takeley | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Evesham United | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Plymouth Parkway | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Hanwell Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Chippenham Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 03/10 | Sheppey United | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 29/09 | Poole Town | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 22/09 | Chichester City | Away | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South
Plymouth Parkway #5 · 26 pts · Chertsey Town #8 · 23 pts
Plymouth Parkway
Chertsey Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Plymouth Parkway
Chertsey Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws