Evesham United vs Yate Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 18 • ☁️ 9°C, 2 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 45.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 59.9% · No 40.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 56.7% · Under 43.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Evesham United · Home
Evesham United's recent form is poor: one win in five, with 4 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their only recent victory was a 3-2 home win over Bracknell Town, and they failed to score in three of those five matches.
Yate Town · Away
Yate Town are without a win in five, with two draws and three defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 9. They failed to score in three of those matches, including a 0-0 home draw with Wimborne Town.
Evesham's Home Edge Over Yate
The latest head-to-head is a warning: Yate Town won 3-0 at home on 6 Apr 2026. Earlier, Evesham United won 2-1 at home on 8 Mar 2025, while Yate won 1-0 at Evesham on 27 Dec 2025. Evesham's model expected goals of 1.68 against Yate's 1.29 supports a narrow home edge, and Evesham's 3-2 win over Bracknell Town shows they can score at home. The evidence supports Evesham United win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Evesham United 1.68 – 1.29 Yate Town · expected total 2.96
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Evesham United
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Evesham United
Yate Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Evesham United at home · Yate Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Evesham United (home)
Yate Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Evesham United 2 wins · 1 draw · Yate Town 3 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 3 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr 2026 | Yate Town | 3–0 | Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Evesham United | 0–1 | Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Evesham United | 2–1 | Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Yate Town | 1–0 | Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Evesham United | 1–1 | Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Yate Town | 1–5 | Evesham United | Non League Div One - Southern South |
📈 Recent Form
Evesham United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bracknell Town | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Halesowen Town | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 20/10 | Chertsey Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Taunton Town | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 13/10 | Bath City | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Uxbridge | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | Poole Town | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 29/09 | Chippenham Town | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Stratford Town | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Redditch United | Away | 0–3 | L |
Yate Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Uxbridge | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Wimborne Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 20/10 | Sholing | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | Malvern Town | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Berkhamsted | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Frome Town | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 29/09 | Wimborne Town | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 18/09 | Chippenham Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Hanworth Villa | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 05/09 | Devizes Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South
Evesham United #14 · 16 pts · Yate Town #17 · 14 pts
Evesham United
Yate Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Evesham United
Yate Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws