Yate Town vs Gloucester City
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • 🌦 7°C, 3 km/h, 0.3mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 42.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 59.8% · No 40.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 56.1% · Under 43.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Yate Town · Home
Yate Town have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last five, failing to score in 3 of those matches, yet the model still gives them 1.61 expected goals. The latest H2H is the clearest guide: Yate beat Gloucester City 2-1 at home on 18 Apr 2026.
Gloucester City · Away
Gloucester City are without a win in five, drawing 3 and losing 2, and failed to score in 3 of those games. They did win the previous meeting 1-0 when hosting, but that was away from Yate.
Yate's Home H2H Edge
The most telling detail is the latest H2H, where Yate Town beat Gloucester City 2-1 at home on 18 Apr 2026. That result sits against Yate's modest run of 3 goals in five matches, so the home edge is matchup-specific rather than form-driven. Gloucester's 4 goals in five and 3 draws show they are hard to shake but rarely dominant, and the model's 1.61 expected goals for Yate supports a narrow home win. The evidence supports Yate Town win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 10:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Yate Town 1.61 – 1.32 Gloucester City · expected total 2.93
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Yate Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Yate Town
Gloucester City
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Yate Town at home · Gloucester City away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Yate Town (home)
Gloucester City (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Gloucester City 2 wins · 1 draw · Yate Town 1 win · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Yate Town | 2–1 | Gloucester City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 05 Dec 2025 | Gloucester City | 1–0 | Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 16 Oct 2013 | Gloucester City | 7–0 | Yate Town | FA Cup |
| 12 Oct 2013 | Yate Town | 2–2 | Gloucester City | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Yate Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Uxbridge | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Wimborne Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 20/10 | Sholing | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | Malvern Town | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Berkhamsted | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Frome Town | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 29/09 | Wimborne Town | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 18/09 | Chippenham Town | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | Hanworth Villa | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 05/09 | Devizes Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
Gloucester City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Berkhamsted | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 27/10 | Plymouth Parkway | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Redditch United | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 20/10 | Barrow | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Barrow | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Hanworth Villa | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Mulbarton Wanderers | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Plymouth Parkway | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Stafford Rangers | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Malvern Town | Away | 2–5 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South
Yate Town #17 · 14 pts · Gloucester City #20 · 11 pts
Yate Town
Gloucester City
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Yate Town
Gloucester City
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws