Poole Town vs Hanwell Town
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • ⛅ 10.7°C, 17 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Bet3651.80 | 53.1% | -4.4% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.23 | 76.8% | -5.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.60 | 64.9% · No 35.1% | +3.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.67 | 59.1% · Under 40.9% | -1.3% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Bet3659.50 | 9.6% | -8.8% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Poole Town · Home
Poole Town's recent home form includes a 2-2 draw with Chertsey Town and a 1-0 win over Bracknell Town, and they scored four away at Chippenham Town. The model gives them 2.08 expected goals here, the higher of the two sides.
Hanwell Town · Away
Hanwell Town have scored 11 goals across their last five, including a 6-1 win over Havant & Wville, but they have no clean sheet in that run. Their latest meeting with Poole Town finished 1-1.
Poole's Edge in Tight H2H
The head-to-head record is the clearest guide: Poole Town won 1-0 at home in August 2025, and the two other meetings were drawn, including 1-1 in January 2026. Hanwell Town's 11 goals in five matches came with 8 conceded and no clean sheet, so a home win does not require shutting them out. Poole Town's own run shows 8 scored and 6 conceded, with one match where they failed to score. The evidence supports Poole Town win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Poole Town 2.08 – 1.32 Hanwell Town · expected total 3.39
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Poole Town
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Poole Town
Hanwell Town
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern South
Poole Town
Hanwell Town
Rank among 19 Non League Premier - Southern South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Poole Town at home · Hanwell Town away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Poole Town (home)
Hanwell Town (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Hanwell Town 2 wins · 2 draws · Poole Town 4 wins · avg 3.1 goals · BTTS in 4 of 8
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Hanwell Town | 1–1 | Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Poole Town | 1–0 | Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Hanwell Town | 3–3 | Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Poole Town | 1–2 | Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Poole Town | 0–3 | Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Hanwell Town | 0–3 | Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 21 Mar 2023 | Hanwell Town | 0–2 | Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 26 Nov 2022 | Poole Town | 3–2 | Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
📈 Recent Form
Poole Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bath City | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | Chertsey Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Didcot Town | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Chippenham Town | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Bracknell Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 07/10 | Gosport Borough | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Evesham United | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Chertsey Town | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Basingstoke Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Havant & Wville | Away | 1–0 | W |
Hanwell Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gosport Borough | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Havant & Wville | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Bath City | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Chertsey Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Taunton Town | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Dover | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Havant & Wville | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Enfield Town | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Burgess Hill Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Frome Town | Away | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South
Poole Town #4 · 28 pts · Hanwell Town #16 · 14 pts
Poole Town
Hanwell Town
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Poole Town
Hanwell Town
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws