Plymouth Parkway vs Uxbridge
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 10 • ⛅ 10.7°C, 12 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.52 (75.1%, Model EV +14.2%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Betano2.47 | 41.2% | +1.8% |
| Double Chance | 12 | Betfair1.25 | 76.3% | -4.6% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.52 | 75.1% · No 24.9% | +14.2% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.62 | 63.8% · Under 36.2% | +3.4% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | BetVictor9.00 | 8.1% | -27.1% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Plymouth Parkway · Home
Plymouth Parkway have won three of their last five, including home wins over Gloucester City and Chertsey Town, and the model gives them 2.32 expected goals here. Their only recent home defeat in this run is not present, with the two losses both coming away.
Uxbridge · Away
Uxbridge have won four of five, with four clean sheets, yet the most recent head-to-head at Uxbridge ended 1-2 to Plymouth Parkway. Their 0-4 home loss to AFC Hornchurch shows this away trip is not straightforward despite that form.
Parkway edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head is the telling detail: Plymouth Parkway won 1-2 at Uxbridge on 17 Jan 2026, while the earlier meeting at Plymouth Parkway ended 0-3. Parkway's home record in their last five includes wins of 1-0 and 2-0, and their model expected goals of 2.32 sit above Uxbridge's 1.75. Uxbridge's four clean sheets in five are real, but the 0-4 home loss to AFC Hornchurch is a reminder of the variance in their results. The evidence supports Plymouth Parkway win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Plymouth Parkway 2.32 – 1.75 Uxbridge · expected total 4.07
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Plymouth Parkway
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Plymouth Parkway
Uxbridge
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern South
Plymouth Parkway
Uxbridge
Rank among 19 Non League Premier - Southern South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Plymouth Parkway at home · Uxbridge away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Plymouth Parkway (home)
Uxbridge (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Plymouth Parkway 1 win · 0 draws · Uxbridge 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Uxbridge | 1–2 | Plymouth Parkway | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Plymouth Parkway | 0–3 | Uxbridge | Non League Premier - Southern South |
📈 Recent Form
Plymouth Parkway
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hanworth Villa | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 27/10 | Gloucester City | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Basingstoke Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Chertsey Town | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Wimborne Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Chichester City | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 03/10 | Horsham | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Gloucester City | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Bath City | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 22/09 | Frome Town | Home | 2–0 | W |
Uxbridge
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Yate Town | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Basingstoke Town | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Egham Town | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Malvern Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 17/10 | AFC Hornchurch | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 10/10 | Evesham United | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Hungerford Town | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Basingstoke Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Lewes | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 22/09 | Farnborough | Away | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South
Plymouth Parkway #5 · 26 pts · Uxbridge #1 · 32 pts
Plymouth Parkway
Uxbridge
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Plymouth Parkway
Uxbridge
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws