Predictions → England Non League Premier - Southern South

Poole Town vs Uxbridge

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 17 • ☁️ 8.6°C, 10 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available45.1% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available80.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available83.4% · No 16.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available86.1% · Under 13.9% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Poole Town · Home

Poole Town's five-match record shows 8 goals scored and 6 conceded, with a 4-1 win at Chippenham Town and a 1-0 home win over Bracknell Town. They also drew 2-2 at home with Chertsey Town and failed to score in a 0-1 loss at Bath City.

Uxbridge · Away

Uxbridge won four of their last five, scoring 10 and conceding 4, with four clean sheets including 2-0 wins over Yate Town and Basingstoke Town. Their one defeat was a 0-4 home loss to AFC Hornchurch.

Poole's Home Edge Over Uxbridge

The latest head-to-head, on 25 Apr 2026, finished 3-3 at Uxbridge, while Poole Town won the earlier meeting 3-1 at home. Poole's model expected goals of 2.59 sit above Uxbridge's 2.29, supporting a home win despite Uxbridge's four clean sheets in five. Poole scored 8 goals across their last five matches, and the 3-3 head-to-head shows both sides can score in this matchup. The evidence supports Poole Town win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Poole Town 2.59 – 2.29 Uxbridge · expected total 4.88

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Poole Town

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Best league winning streak this season6
Elo strength rating1364

Uxbridge

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)0.60
Best league winning streak this season5
Elo strength rating1412
Poole TownUxbridge
Goals scored (season avg)
1.70
2.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
0.60
Best league winning streak this season
6
5
Elo strength rating
1364
1412

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Poole Town

Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Uxbridge

Won 4 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
0/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
5/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Non League Premier - Southern South

Poole Town

3rd best BTTS rate (67%, last 6)

Uxbridge

2nd best attack (2.10 goals/game, season) Best defence (0.60 conceded/game, season) Worst BTTS rate (0%, last 6) Best clean sheets (8, season)

Rank among 19 Non League Premier - Southern South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Poole Town at home · Uxbridge away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Poole Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–2L
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Uxbridge (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Poole Town (home)Uxbridge (away)
W 3
D 1
L 2
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.60
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
5.98%
3–2
5.92%
3–1
5.17%
4–2
3.83%
4–1
3.35%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Poole Town 1 win · 1 draw · Uxbridge 0 wins · avg 5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Apr 2026 Uxbridge 3–3 Poole Town Non League Premier - Southern South
13 Dec 2025 Poole Town 3–1 Uxbridge Non League Premier - Southern South

📈 Recent Form

Poole Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Bath City Away 0–1 L
27/10 Chertsey Town Home 2–2 D
24/10 Didcot Town Away 1–2 L
17/10 Chippenham Town Away 4–1 W
10/10 Bracknell Town Home 1–0 W
07/10 Gosport Borough Away 3–1 W
03/10 Evesham United Home 3–1 W
29/09 Chertsey Town Away 3–1 W
26/09 Basingstoke Town Home 1–0 W
12/09 Havant & Wville Away 1–0 W

Uxbridge

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Yate Town Home 2–0 W
27/10 Basingstoke Town Away 2–0 W
24/10 Egham Town Away 3–0 W
20/10 Malvern Town Home 3–0 W
17/10 AFC Hornchurch Home 0–4 L
10/10 Evesham United Home 1–0 W
03/10 Hungerford Town Home 3–1 W
29/09 Basingstoke Town Home 2–1 W
26/09 Lewes Home 2–1 W
22/09 Farnborough Away 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Non League Premier - Southern South

Poole Town #4 · 28 pts ·  Uxbridge #1 · 32 pts

Poole Town

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–1D–4L
W 9
D 1
L 4
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards1
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Uxbridge

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–2D–1L
W 10
D 2
L 1
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.10
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets8
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Poole TownUxbridge
W 9
D 1
L 4
W 10
D 2
L 1
Played
14
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
2.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.60
Clean sheets
2
8
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Poole Town

1
0-15
1
16-30
8
3
31-45
1
46-60
6
3
61-75
6
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Uxbridge

1
0-15
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
7
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Non League Premier - Southern South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws