Hull City U21 vs Derby County U21
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group Stage • ☁️ 10°C, 17 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: Home at 2.79 (41.3%, Model EV +15.2%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Pinnacle2.79 | 41.4% | +15.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.25 | 77.8% | -2.8% |
| BTTS | Yes | Betano1.38 | 76.5% · No 23.5% | +5.6% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.44 | 71% · Under 29% | +2.2% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | William Hill10.00 | 7.8% | -22% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Hull City U21 41.4% · Draw 22.2% · Derby County U21 36.4%. Selected outcome: Hull City U21 win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Hull City U21 2.73, Derby County U21 1.68, expected total 4.41.
Price check
Hull City U21 win at 2.79 gives model EV +15.5%.
Form / H2H
Hull City U21: D-W-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Derby County U21: L-W-L-L-L in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Derby County U21 1–4 Hull City U21, 14 Aug 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Hull City U21
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Hull City U21
Derby County U21
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League Cup
Hull City U21
Derby County U21
Rank among 31 Premier League Cup teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Hull City U21 at home · Derby County U21 away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Hull City U21 (home)
Derby County U21 (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Derby County U21 0 wins · 0 draws · Hull City U21 1 win · avg 5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | Derby County U21 | 1–4 | Hull City U21 | Premier League Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Hull City U21
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Wycombe U21 | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 09/10 | Barnsley U21 | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 06/10 | Wigan Athletic U21 | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 29/09 | Bolton Wanderers Res. | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 22/09 | Bristol City U21 | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 08/09 | Brentford U21 | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 01/09 | Swansea City U21 | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 25/08 | Queens Park Rangers U21 | Away | 3–3 | D |
| 14/08 | Derby County U21 | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 28/07 | Scarborough Athletic | Away | 0–1 | L |
Derby County U21
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Norwich City U21 | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 19/10 | Birmingham City U21 | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Brentford U21 | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 18/09 | Burnley U21 | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 11/09 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 08/09 | Gateshead | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 31/08 | West Bromwich Albion U21 | Home | 4–4 | D |
| 24/08 | Reading U21 | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 18/08 | FC Halifax Town | Away | 2–6 | L |
| 14/08 | Hull City U21 | Home | 1–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League Cup
Hull City U21
Derby County U21
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Hull City U21
Derby County U21
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Premier League Cup predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws