Our model gives AC Oulu win a 90% confidence rating
Finland Veikkausliiga Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 10 Days β’ 6 Matches β’ Round 9 β’ Updated 2 hours ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season , Round 9
Saturday, May 30
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | LDWLW |
HJK Helsinki
vs
Mariehamn
|
DWDLW | 87% | 60.7% | Home | N/A | β |
| 17:00 | WDWDL |
KuPS
vs
Inter Turku
|
WWWWW | 79% | 46.2% | Home | N/A | β |
| 17:00 | DWDLW |
Lahti
vs
Ilves
|
LDWWD | 79% | 46.2% | Home | N/A | β |
| 17:00 | LLWWD |
Turku PS
vs
VPS
|
WDWDW | 69% | 26.1% | Draw | N/A | β |
| 17:00 | WDWDL |
Gnistan
vs
SJK
|
LWDDW | 84% | 55.7% | Home | N/A | β |
Sunday, May 31
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | WLWLL |
AC Oulu
vs
FF Jaro
|
LLLLD | 90% | 66.9% | Home | N/A | β |
Top Trends from Veikkausliiga Teams
Our model gives HJK Helsinki win a 87% confidence rating
KuPS are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Inter Turku are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
VPS are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Turku PS are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, FF Jaro have achieved just 2 wins
Predictlix Veikkausliiga Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: May 24, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
AC Oulu versus FF Jaro carries the strongest predicted outcome signal in this Regular Season - 9 round. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine gives it 90% confidence, with a 66.9% probability driven by a massive home lambda of 2.381 against just 0.997 away. HJK Helsinki vs Mariehamn (87% confidence) and Gnistan vs SJK (84%) also show strong home edges. The clear betting takeaway is backing AC Oulu to win at the available odds, given the extreme lambda gap and high confidence.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
KuPS and Inter Turku combine high attacking lambdas (2.114 and 1.7435) with a 73.2% Over 2.5 probability, making this a strong goals candidate. AC Oulu presents the opposite pattern against FF Jaro, where low BTTS probability of 43.4% and a 35.5% Over 2.5 chance suggest a low-scoring affair. Turku PS versus VPS also leans Under with a 51.8% Under 2.5 probability and modest lambda values. The PredictLix model's enhanced Poisson engine flags KuPS vs Inter Turku as the standout Over play at 92% confidence, while AC Oulu vs FF Jaro offers value on Under 2.5 at 74% confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
HJK Helsinki arrive on a five-match winning streak in the league, their most recent form reading WWWWW. AC Oulu counter with three consecutive victories, a strong indicator of momentum. At the other end, Mariehamn are winless in four, while VPS have drawn three of their last five. Lahti have scored in each of their last seven home matches, a persistent attacking pattern. Gnistan's recent form of WWLWW shows resilience ahead of their clash.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
HJK Helsinki sit atop the table and face Mariehamn, who are fighting to climb from the lower half. KuPS, in second, host mid-table Inter Turku in a clash with title implications. Lahti, battling near the relegation zone, desperately need points against high-flying Ilves. Turku PS host VPS in a mid-table meeting with neither team safe from the drop. Every Regular Season - 9 fixture carries weight.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
AC Oulu's 90% home win confidence against FF Jaro stands out as the strongest indicator on the card. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine gives them a 66.9% win probability, backed by a 2.381 expected goals against a defence conceding under one per game. HJK Helsinki also looks solid at 87% confidence, with Mariehamn's recent form reading DWDLW suggesting vulnerability. Gnistan's 84% home confidence completes a strong treble, as SJK's away form shows inconsistency. Back AC Oulu, HJK and Gnistan all to win β a confident accumulator leg at appealing combined odds.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season , Round 8
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 19:00 | WDWDW |
VPS
vs
HJK Helsinki
|
LDWLW | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 1 FT |
| 23/05 14:00 | WWWWW |
Inter Turku
vs
Turku PS
|
LLWWD | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 1 FT |
| 23/05 17:00 | LDWWD |
Ilves
vs
Gnistan
|
WDWDL | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 0 FT |
| 23/05 17:00 | LLLLD |
FF Jaro
vs
Mariehamn
|
DWDLW | β | β | No data | N/A | 3 β 0 FT |
| 23/05 17:00 | WDWDL |
KuPS
vs
Lahti
|
DWDLW | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 1 FT |
| 23/05 17:00 | LWDDW |
SJK
vs
AC Oulu
|
WLWLL | β | β | No data | N/A | 0 β 1 FT |