Predictions → France Ligue 3

Aubagne vs Amiens

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny • ☁️ 15.5°C, 6 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available42.7% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available76% —
BTTS No Current price not available61.2% · Yes 38.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available69.2% · Over 30.8% —
Correct Score 0-1 Current price not available15.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Aubagne 24.0% · Draw 33.3% · Amiens 42.7%. Selected outcome: Amiens win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Aubagne 0.79, Amiens 1.15, expected total 1.94.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Aubagne: L-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Amiens: D-D-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Aubagne

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season1
Elo strength rating1412

Amiens

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1462
AubagneAmiens
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
0.50
Best league winning streak this season
1
2
Elo strength rating
1412
1462

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Aubagne

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Amiens

Unbeaten 8
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 3

Aubagne

2nd worst attack (0.50 goals/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Amiens

Best defence (0.50 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (6, season)

Rank among 18 Ligue 3 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Aubagne at home · Amiens away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Aubagne (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–4L
W 1
L 4
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3

Amiens (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–1L
W 1
D 4
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Aubagne (home)Amiens (away)
W 1
L 4
W 1
D 4
L 1
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
0.50
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
3
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–1
15.15%
0–2
9.46%
1–2
7.52%
0–3
3.63%
1–3
2.88%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Aubagne

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Versailles Away 0–4 L
17/10 Le Puy Foot Home 0–1 L
03/10 La Roche VF Away 1–3 L
26/09 Fleury 91 Away 2–1 W
19/09 Rouen Away 0–1 L
12/09 Concarneau Home 1–2 L
05/09 Gobelins Away 0–0 D
29/08 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Home 2–0 W
20/08 Caen Away 0–1 L
14/08 Bastia Home 0–1 L

Amiens

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/10 Thionville Lusitanos Home 1–1 D
17/10 Valenciennes Away 1–1 D
03/10 Villefranche Home 3–0 W
26/09 Quevilly Away 1–1 D
19/09 Orleans Home 2–0 W
10/09 Cannes Away 0–0 D
05/09 Bastia Away 3–0 W
29/08 Versailles Home 3–0 W
20/08 Le Puy Foot Away 0–1 L
14/08 La Roche VF Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 3

Aubagne #17 · 7 pts ·  Amiens #8 · 17 pts

Aubagne

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–8L
W 2
D 1
L 8
Played11
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score7
Yellow cards29
Red cards4
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Amiens

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–5D–2L
W 4
D 5
L 2
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards27
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
AubagneAmiens
W 2
D 1
L 8
W 4
D 5
L 2
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.50
Clean sheets
2
6
Failed to score
7
4
Yellow cards
29
27
Red cards
4
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Aubagne

1
0-15
4
3
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
7
76-90
scored conceded

Amiens

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
46-60
4
61-75
2
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Ligue 3 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws