Amiens vs Caen
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 19 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 13 • Stade de la Licorne
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 45.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 58.1% · No 41.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 54.4% · Under 45.6% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Amiens · Home
Amiens are unbeaten across their last five matches, with 2 wins and three draws, and they scored in all five. Their home results include a 3-0 win over Villefranche and a 2-0 win over Orleans.
Caen · Away
Caen have no clean sheets in their last five and conceded 10 goals, including 3-2 and 2-3 scorelines. They failed to score only once in that run, away at Concarneau.
Amiens edge tight H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 14 Mar 2025, finished 2-1 to Amiens at home, and the two meetings before that were also decided by a single-goal or two-goal margin. Amiens' recent record of 8 goals for and 3 against across five matches is the steadier base, while Caen's 9 goals for and 10 against shows a looser pattern. With the model giving Amiens 1.63 expected goals against Caen's 1.23, a narrow home win fits the evidence. The evidence supports Amiens win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Amiens 1.63 – 1.23 Caen · expected total 2.86
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Amiens
Caen
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 3
Amiens
Caen
Rank among 18 Ligue 3 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Amiens at home · Caen away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Amiens (home)
Caen (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Amiens 1 win · 4 draws · Caen 5 wins · avg 1.9 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2025 | Amiens | 2–1 | Caen | Ligue 2 |
| 24 Sep 2024 | Caen | 2–1 | Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Caen | 2–0 | Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| 19 Dec 2023 | Amiens | 0–0 | Caen | Ligue 2 |
| 20 May 2023 | Amiens | 1–3 | Caen | Ligue 2 |
| 10 Sep 2022 | Caen | 3–1 | Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Caen | 1–1 | Amiens | Ligue 2 |
| 06 Nov 2021 | Amiens | 0–0 | Caen | Ligue 2 |
| 05 Feb 2021 | Amiens | 0–0 | Caen | Ligue 2 |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Caen | 1–0 | Amiens | Ligue 2 |
📈 Recent Form
Amiens
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Thionville Lusitanos | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Valenciennes | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Villefranche | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Quevilly | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Orleans | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 10/09 | Cannes | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Bastia | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 29/08 | Versailles | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 20/08 | Le Puy Foot | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 14/08 | La Roche VF | Home | 0–1 | L |
Caen
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Le Puy Foot | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 15/10 | La Roche VF | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Fleury 91 | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 24/09 | Rouen | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 19/09 | Concarneau | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Gobelins | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 27/08 | Bastia | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 20/08 | Aubagne | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 14/08 | Thionville Lusitanos | Away | 3–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 3
Amiens #8 · 17 pts · Caen #4 · 19 pts
Amiens
Caen
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Amiens
Caen
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Ligue 3 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws