Predictions → France Ligue 3

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stadium Plaine • ☀️ 9.4°C, 3 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available29.4% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available68.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available52.4% · No 47.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available53.9% · Over 46.1% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Thionville Lusitanos 31.8% · Draw 29.4% · Cannes 38.8%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Thionville Lusitanos 1.19, Cannes 1.33, expected total 2.52.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Thionville Lusitanos: D-L-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Cannes: W-L-W-D-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Thionville Lusitanos

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1331

Cannes

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.60
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1443
Thionville LusitanosCannes
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
0.60
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
Elo strength rating
1331
1443

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Thionville Lusitanos

Winless 8
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Cannes

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 3

Thionville Lusitanos

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Cannes

2nd best defence (0.60 conceded/game, season) 3rd best clean sheets (5, season)

Rank among 18 Ligue 3 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Thionville Lusitanos at home · Cannes away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Thionville Lusitanos (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Cannes (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–1L
W 1
D 4
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Thionville Lusitanos (home)Cannes (away)
W 1
D 1
L 3
W 1
D 4
L 1
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.40
0.70
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.01%
0–0
9.33%
2–2
5.04%
3–3
0.89%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Thionville Lusitanos

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/10 Amiens Away 1–1 D
17/10 Versailles Home 1–2 L
03/10 Le Puy Foot Away 0–1 L
26/09 La Roche VF Home 1–2 L
19/09 Fleury 91 Away 1–1 D
12/09 Rouen Home 0–4 L
05/09 Concarneau Away 2–2 D
29/08 Gobelins Home 1–1 D
20/08 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Away 2–0 W
14/08 Caen Home 4–3 W

Cannes

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Valenciennes Home 2–1 W
17/10 Villefranche Away 1–2 L
03/10 Quevilly Home 3–1 W
26/09 Orleans Away 0–0 D
17/09 Bastia Away 1–1 D
10/09 Amiens Home 0–0 D
05/09 Versailles Away 3–0 W
29/08 Le Puy Foot Home 2–0 W
20/08 La Roche VF Away 1–1 D
14/08 Fleury 91 Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 3

Thionville Lusitanos #12 · 13 pts ·  Cannes #5 · 18 pts

Thionville Lusitanos

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–4L
W 3
D 4
L 4
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards37
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Cannes

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–6D–1L
W 4
D 6
L 1
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets5
Failed to score3
Yellow cards19
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Thionville LusitanosCannes
W 3
D 4
L 4
W 4
D 6
L 1
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.60
Clean sheets
2
5
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
37
19
Red cards
2
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Thionville Lusitanos

2
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
6
76-90
4
scored conceded

Cannes

0-15
2
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
61-75
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Ligue 3 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws