Concarneau vs Fleury 91
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stade Guy Piriou • ⛅ 5.7°C, 11 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 44.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 72.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 57% · No 43% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 52.8% · Under 47.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.3% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Concarneau · Home
Concarneau have scored in all five of their recent matches, including a 2-0 home win over Caen and a 1-1 home draw with Bastia. Their model expected goals of 1.58 for this fixture reflect that steady scoring output.
Fleury 91 · Away
Fleury 91 have also scored in each of their last five, with the 3-2 home win over Caen standing out. However, they lost 1-2 at home to Aubagne in that same run.
Concarneau's H2H Reversal Case
The latest head-to-head is the telling detail: Fleury 91 won 0-4 at home on 27 Feb 2026, while Concarneau lost the earlier home meeting 0-1. That 0-4 result shows Fleury can score heavily, but Concarneau's own recent home form includes a 2-0 win over Caen and a 1-1 draw with Bastia. Both sides have scored 7 goals across their last five, and Concarneau's model expected goals of 1.58 edge Fleury's 1.22. A home win is therefore realistic rather than a form mismatch. The evidence supports Concarneau win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Concarneau 1.57 – 1.22 Fleury 91 · expected total 2.79
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Concarneau
Fleury 91
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 3
Concarneau
Fleury 91
Rank among 18 Ligue 3 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Concarneau at home · Fleury 91 away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Concarneau (home)
Fleury 91 (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Concarneau 2 wins · 1 draw · Fleury 91 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Fleury 91 | 0–4 | Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Concarneau | 0–1 | Fleury 91 | Ligue 3 |
| 28 May 2016 | Fleury 91 | 0–0 | Concarneau | National 2 - Group D |
| 09 Jan 2016 | Concarneau | 3–2 | Fleury 91 | National 2 - Group D |
📈 Recent Form
Concarneau
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rouen | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Bastia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Gobelins | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Caen | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Aubagne | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Thionville Lusitanos | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Valenciennes | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 20/08 | Villefranche | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 14/08 | Quevilly | Away | 1–1 | D |
Fleury 91
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gobelins | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Caen | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 26/09 | Aubagne | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Thionville Lusitanos | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 12/09 | Valenciennes | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Villefranche | Home | 6–1 | W |
| 29/08 | Quevilly | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/08 | Orleans | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 14/08 | Cannes | Away | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 3
Concarneau #7 · 17 pts · Fleury 91 #9 · 16 pts
Concarneau
Fleury 91
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Concarneau
Fleury 91
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Ligue 3 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws