Predictions → France Ligue 3

Gobelins vs La Roche VF

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stade Charlety • ⛅ 10.7°C, 7 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available31.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available68% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available46.9% · No 53.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available60.9% · Over 39.1% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Gobelins · Home

Gobelins have scored in all five recent matches, including a 3-1 win over Rouen and a 1-0 win over Bastia at home. Their latest meeting with La Roche VF was a 2-0 home win on 9 Mar 2024.

La Roche VF · Away

La Roche VF won four of five recent matches, scoring 11 goals, with the only defeat a 1-2 loss at Caen. They won the earlier H2H 1-0 at home on 6 Oct 2023.

H2H split points to draw

The two head-to-head meetings were decided by two and one goal respectively, with each side winning at home: 2-0 for Gobelins and 1-0 for La Roche VF. Gobelins have drawn two of five recent matches, while La Roche VF have drawn none, so the hosts' record offers the likelier route to a stalemate. The model gives Gobelins 1.18 expected goals and La Roche VF 1.08, a narrow gap consistent with a 1-1 correct-score line at 14.6%. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Gobelins 1.17 – 1.08 La Roche VF · expected total 2.25

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Gobelins

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1413

La Roche VF

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1438
GobelinsLa Roche VF
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
0.90
Best league winning streak this season
2
3
Elo strength rating
1413
1438

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Gobelins

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

La Roche VF

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 3

Gobelins

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

La Roche VF

Best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Rank among 18 Ligue 3 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Gobelins at home · La Roche VF away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Gobelins (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–0L
W 4
D 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

La Roche VF (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Gobelins (home)La Roche VF (away)
W 4
D 2
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
0.60
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.65%
0–0
11.86%
2–2
4.21%
3–3
0.59%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Gobelins 1 win · 0 draws · La Roche VF 1 win · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
09 Mar 2024 Gobelins 2–0 La Roche VF National 2 - Group B
06 Oct 2023 La Roche VF 1–0 Gobelins National 2 - Group B

📈 Recent Form

Gobelins

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Fleury 91 Away 1–1 D
17/10 Rouen Home 3–1 W
03/10 Concarneau Away 1–2 L
26/09 Bastia Home 1–0 W
19/09 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Home 1–1 D
12/09 Caen Away 0–2 L
05/09 Aubagne Home 0–0 D
29/08 Thionville Lusitanos Away 1–1 D
20/08 Valenciennes Home 2–1 W
14/08 Villefranche Away 0–2 L

La Roche VF

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Home 2–0 W
15/10 Caen Away 1–2 L
03/10 Aubagne Home 3–1 W
26/09 Thionville Lusitanos Away 2–1 W
19/09 Valenciennes Home 3–2 W
12/09 Villefranche Away 0–0 D
05/09 Quevilly Home 1–1 D
29/08 Orleans Away 1–0 W
20/08 Cannes Home 1–1 D
14/08 Amiens Away 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 3

Gobelins #10 · 16 pts ·  La Roche VF #1 · 24 pts

Gobelins

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–4D–3L
W 4
D 4
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards26
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)3/2

La Roche VF

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–3D–1L
W 7
D 3
L 1
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards23
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)3/1
GobelinsLa Roche VF
W 4
D 4
L 3
W 7
D 3
L 1
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.90
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
3
1
Yellow cards
26
23
Red cards
3
3
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/2
3/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Gobelins

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
61-75
5
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

La Roche VF

3
0-15
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
8
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Ligue 3 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws