Predictions → France Ligue 3

Villefranche vs Quevilly

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Stade Armand Chouffet • ☀️ 13°C, 8 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available47.8% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available79.4% —
BTTS No Current price not available60.5% · Yes 39.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available66.8% · Over 33.2% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available15.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Villefranche · Home

Villefranche have won two of the three latest head-to-head meetings, including a 2-1 home victory over Quevilly on 22 Aug 2025 and a 2-1 away win on 30 Jan 2026. Their home form also includes a 2-1 win over Cannes, though the overall recent record is one win, one draw and three defeats from five.

Quevilly · Away

Quevilly have failed to score in two of their last five matches and were beaten 0-2 at Bastia most recently. Their away results in that run were a 1-3 loss at Cannes and a 0-0 draw at Versailles, leaving them with one win, two draws and two defeats overall.

Villefranche edge recent H2H

The decisive angle is the head-to-head sequence: Villefranche won the latest meeting 2-1 away on 30 Jan 2026 and also won 2-1 at home on 22 Aug 2025, while the older 0-1 result went to Quevilly. Villefranche's model expected goals of 1.28 sit above Quevilly's 0.75, and the contract's 1-0 correct score fits a low-scoring home edge. Quevilly's two failed-to-score matches in five and a 0-0 at Versailles support the Under 2.5 and No BTTS picks. The evidence supports Villefranche win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Villefranche 1.28 – 0.75 Quevilly · expected total 2.03

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Villefranche

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Best league winning streak this season3
Elo strength rating1376

Quevilly

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1419
VillefrancheQuevilly
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.20
1.50
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
Elo strength rating
1376
1419

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Villefranche

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Quevilly

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Ligue 3

Villefranche

Worst defence (2.20 conceded/game, season) Best Over 2.5 rate (67%, last 6)

Quevilly

2nd worst clean sheets (1, season)

Rank among 18 Ligue 3 teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Villefranche at home · Quevilly away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Villefranche (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2

Quevilly (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–4L
D 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Villefranche (home)Quevilly (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
D 2
L 4
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.70
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
15.5%
2–0
10.75%
2–1
8.09%
3–0
4.59%
3–1
3.46%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Quevilly 4 wins · 0 draws · Villefranche 6 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10

4
6
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
30 Jan 2026 Quevilly 1–2 Villefranche Ligue 3
22 Aug 2025 Villefranche 2–1 Quevilly Ligue 3
09 May 2025 Villefranche 0–1 Quevilly Ligue 3
19 Jan 2025 Quevilly 0–1 Villefranche Ligue 3
29 May 2022 Quevilly 2–0 Villefranche Ligue 2
24 May 2022 Villefranche 1–3 Quevilly Ligue 2
09 Feb 2021 Quevilly 0–1 Villefranche Ligue 3
04 Sep 2020 Villefranche 0–1 Quevilly Ligue 3
31 Jan 2020 Villefranche 2–0 Quevilly Ligue 3
23 Aug 2019 Quevilly 0–2 Villefranche Ligue 3

📈 Recent Form

Villefranche

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Orleans Away 1–1 D
17/10 Cannes Home 2–1 W
03/10 Amiens Away 0–3 L
26/09 Versailles Home 1–2 L
19/09 Le Puy Foot Away 1–4 L
12/09 La Roche VF Home 0–0 D
05/09 Fleury 91 Away 1–6 L
29/08 Rouen Home 0–2 L
20/08 Concarneau Away 0–2 L
14/08 Gobelins Home 2–0 W

Quevilly

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Bastia Away 0–2 L
17/10 Orleans Home 3–2 W
03/10 Cannes Away 1–3 L
26/09 Amiens Home 1–1 D
19/09 Versailles Away 0–0 D
12/09 Le Puy Foot Home 2–1 W
05/09 La Roche VF Away 1–1 D
29/08 Fleury 91 Home 2–1 W
20/08 Rouen Away 0–3 L
14/08 Concarneau Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: Ligue 3

Villefranche #16 · 8 pts ·  Quevilly #13 · 13 pts

Villefranche

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–7L
W 2
D 2
L 7
Played11
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards30
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1

Quevilly

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–4L
W 3
D 4
L 4
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards21
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
VillefrancheQuevilly
W 2
D 2
L 7
W 3
D 4
L 4
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.20
1.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
4
4
Yellow cards
30
21
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Villefranche

2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
6
76-90
2
scored conceded

Quevilly

1
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Ligue 3 predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws