Predictions → Germany Frauen Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim W vs SC Freiburg W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Dietmar-Hopp Stadion • ☀️ 4.3°C, 11 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available58.7% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available80.8% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available75.9% · No 24.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available80.5% · Under 19.5% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available7.9% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.6 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available56.7% · Over 43.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

1899 Hoffenheim W · Home

1899 Hoffenheim W have won four of their last five matches, scoring 11 goals across that run, including a 3-1 home win over Mainz 05 W. Their latest head-to-head trip to SC Freiburg W ended in a 2-1 victory on 29 Mar 2026.

SC Freiburg W · Away

SC Freiburg W have lost three of their last five, conceding 10 goals, and their most recent outing was a 3-4 defeat at Werder Bremen W. They did win 1-0 at FC Koln W in that stretch, so the away side has shown it can take a result.

Hoffenheim's H2H edge

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Hoffenheim won 2-1 at Freiburg on 29 Mar 2026, and they also won the previous meeting 2-1 at home on 6 Nov 2025. Freiburg's recent record of 7 goals for and 10 against across five matches fits a game with chances at both ends, supporting the 75.9% BTTS and 80.5% Over 2.5 picks. Hoffenheim's model expected goals of 2.7 against Freiburg's 1.65 point to the home side scoring more than once. The evidence supports 1899 Hoffenheim W win.

Published 31 Oct 2026 22:45 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: 1899 Hoffenheim W 2.70 – 1.65 SC Freiburg W · expected total 4.35

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

1899 Hoffenheim W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.20
Elo strength rating1567

SC Freiburg W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.95
Elo strength rating1441
1899 Hoffenheim WSC Freiburg W
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.90
1.80
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.97
1.37
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.20
1.95
Elo strength rating
1567
1441

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

1899 Hoffenheim W

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

SC Freiburg W

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim W

2nd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%, last 6)

SC Freiburg W

Best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

1899 Hoffenheim W at home · SC Freiburg W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

1899 Hoffenheim W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

SC Freiburg W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
1899 Hoffenheim W (home)SC Freiburg W (away)
W 2
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.30
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
7.93%
3–1
7.14%
3–2
5.9%
4–1
4.82%
2–0
4.8%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

1899 Hoffenheim W 8 wins · 0 draws · SC Freiburg W 2 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10

8
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
29 Mar 2026 SC Freiburg W 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim W Frauen Bundesliga
06 Nov 2025 1899 Hoffenheim W 2–1 SC Freiburg W Frauen Bundesliga
02 Feb 2025 SC Freiburg W 0–3 1899 Hoffenheim W Frauen Bundesliga
16 Sep 2024 1899 Hoffenheim W 2–3 SC Freiburg W Frauen Bundesliga
22 Mar 2024 SC Freiburg W 2–4 1899 Hoffenheim W Frauen Bundesliga
04 Nov 2023 1899 Hoffenheim W 2–3 SC Freiburg W Frauen Bundesliga
19 Mar 2023 SC Freiburg W 0–1 1899 Hoffenheim W Frauen Bundesliga
14 Oct 2022 1899 Hoffenheim W 3–2 SC Freiburg W Frauen Bundesliga
18 Dec 2021 SC Freiburg W 1–3 1899 Hoffenheim W Frauen Bundesliga
27 Aug 2021 1899 Hoffenheim W 2–1 SC Freiburg W Frauen Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

1899 Hoffenheim W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/10 Werder Bremen W Away 0–3 L
25/10 Mainz 05 W Home 3–1 W
04/10 Nürnberg W Away 2–1 W
27/09 Greuther Furth W Away 4–1 W
18/09 VfL Wolfsburg W Home 2–1 W
13/09 Eintracht Frankfurt W Away 2–4 L
04/09 Bayer Leverkusen W Home 1–2 L
28/08 FC Koln W Away 0–1 L
23/08 Stuttgart W Home 1–2 L
17/05 RB Leipzig W Home 0–0 D

SC Freiburg W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Carl Zeiss Jena W Home 4–0 W
25/10 Werder Bremen W Away 3–4 L
16/10 RB Leipzig W Home 0–3 L
03/10 FC Koln W Away 1–0 W
26/09 Andernach W Away 2–1 W
20/09 Bayer Leverkusen W Home 1–2 L
13/09 Mainz 05 W Home 3–0 W
06/09 Bayern Munich W Away 1–4 L
29/08 Union Berlin W Home 1–0 W
23/08 Hamburger SV W Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim W #10 · 9 pts ·  SC Freiburg W #9 · 10 pts

1899 Hoffenheim W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–5L
W 3
L 5
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards11
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

SC Freiburg W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–4L
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards13
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.37
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.95
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
1899 Hoffenheim WSC Freiburg W
W 3
L 5
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.90
1.80
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
2
1
Yellow cards
11
13
Red cards
1
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.97
1.37
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.20
1.95
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

1899 Hoffenheim W

3
0-15
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

SC Freiburg W

2
0-15
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws