Bayer Leverkusen W vs Hamburger SV W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 16:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion • ☁️ 8.1°C, 3 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 65.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 83.5% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 71.5% · No 28.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 79% · Under 21% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.4% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 59% · Under 41% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Bayer Leverkusen W · Home
Bayer Leverkusen W have scored in four of their last five matches, including 3-2 against Werder Bremen W and 2-1 at SC Freiburg W, though they failed to score at Nürnberg W. Their model expected goals of 2.83 point to a strong attacking outlook at home.
Hamburger SV W · Away
Hamburger SV W have conceded 14 goals across their last five matches, with both recent home games against Union Berlin W producing 3-4 and 4-4 scorelines. They have scored in every one of those five fixtures, so they carry a real scoring threat.
Leverkusen edge a high-scoring H2H
The latest H2H, on 30 Mar 2026, finished 1-3 to Bayer Leverkusen W away from home, and the earlier meeting ended 2-1 in their favour. Hamburger SV W have conceded 14 goals in five matches, while Leverkusen's model expected goals of 2.83 sit well above their recent weighted xG of 1.39. With both teams scoring regularly, a 2-1 pattern is realistic. The evidence supports Bayer Leverkusen W win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bayer Leverkusen W 2.83 – 1.41 Hamburger SV W · expected total 4.24
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bayer Leverkusen W
Hamburger SV W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen W
Hamburger SV W
Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bayer Leverkusen W at home · Hamburger SV W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bayer Leverkusen W (home)
Hamburger SV W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bayer Leverkusen W 3 wins · 0 draws · Hamburger SV W 0 wins · avg 3.7 goals · BTTS in 2 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2026 | Hamburger SV W | 1–3 | Bayer Leverkusen W | Frauen Bundesliga |
| 05 Nov 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 2–1 | Hamburger SV W | Frauen Bundesliga |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Hamburger SV W | 0–4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | DFB Pokal - Women |
📈 Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Bayern Munich W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 25/10 | Nürnberg W | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 02/10 | Werder Bremen W | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 20/09 | SC Freiburg W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 14/09 | Bayern Munich W | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 04/09 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 30/08 | VfL Wolfsburg W | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 23/08 | RB Leipzig W | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/05 | Werder Bremen W | Home | 1–3 | L |
Hamburger SV W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Union Berlin W | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 25/10 | Union Berlin W | Home | 4–4 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Koln W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 04/10 | VfL Wolfsburg W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Meppen W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Nürnberg W | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 11/09 | Werder Bremen W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | RB Leipzig W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/08 | Stuttgart W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 23/08 | SC Freiburg W | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen W #5 · 13 pts · Hamburger SV W #12 · 6 pts
Bayer Leverkusen W
Hamburger SV W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bayer Leverkusen W
Hamburger SV W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws