Predictions → Germany Frauen Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg W vs Bayern Munich W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 19:55 UTC+3 • Round 10 • AOK Stadion • ☁️ 4.2°C, 11 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available47.5% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available81.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available88.9% · No 11.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available92.3% · Under 7.7% —
Correct Score 3-2 Current price not available5.9% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.6 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available63.8% · Under 36.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg W · Home

VfL Wolfsburg W have won all five recent matches, scoring 19 and conceding 1, with four clean sheets; the 7-0 win over Feyenoord W is their standout result. Their recent xG for those matches with recorded statistics is 3.4, and the model expected goals for this fixture is 3.12.

Bayern Munich W · Away

Bayern Munich W are unbeaten in five, with 16 goals scored and 3 conceded, including a 2-2 draw with Real Madrid W. Their recent xG across matches with recorded statistics is 2.94, and the model expected goals for this fixture is 2.67.

Wolfsburg's Home Scoring Surge

The latest H2H, on 15 Aug 2026, ended 3-0 to Bayern Munich W, and the two prior meetings also went Bayern's way, so the home win is not the obvious historical read. What supports it is Wolfsburg's current run: five wins from five, 19 goals for and 1 against, with the 7-0 over Feyenoord W and 3-0 over FC Koln W both at home. The model's 3.12 expected goals for Wolfsburg and 47.5% home probability make a home win realistic despite that H2H record. The evidence supports VfL Wolfsburg W win.

Published 31 Oct 2026 22:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.

⚽ Current model expected goals: VfL Wolfsburg W 3.12 – 2.67 Bayern Munich W · expected total 5.79

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

VfL Wolfsburg W

Form (last 5)
WWWWW
Goals scored (season avg)3.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season7
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.40
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.58
Elo strength rating1666

Bayern Munich W

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)3.60
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Best league winning streak this season20
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.94
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.08
Elo strength rating1690
VfL Wolfsburg WBayern Munich W
Goals scored (season avg)
3.30
3.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
0.90
Best league winning streak this season
7
20
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
3.40
2.94
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.58
1.08
Elo strength rating
1666
1690

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

VfL Wolfsburg W

Won 7 in a row Unbeaten 7
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
5/6

Bayern Munich W

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg W

2nd best attack (3.30 goals/game, season) 3rd best defence (1.00 conceded/game, season) 2nd worst BTTS rate (17%, last 6) Best clean sheets (3, season)

Bayern Munich W

Best attack (3.60 goals/game, season) Best defence (0.90 conceded/game, season) Best clean sheets (3, season)

Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

VfL Wolfsburg W at home · Bayern Munich W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

VfL Wolfsburg W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–0L
W 3
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Bayern Munich W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–0L
W 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)3.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
VfL Wolfsburg W (home)Bayern Munich W (away)
W 3
W 4
Played
3
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.70
3.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

3–2
5.86%
4–2
4.57%
3–1
4.39%
2–1
4.23%
4–3
4.07%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bayern Munich W 8 wins · 0 draws · VfL Wolfsburg W 2 wins · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 4 of 10

8
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
15 Aug 2026 Bayern Munich W 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg W Supercup der Frauen
14 May 2026 VfL Wolfsburg W 0–4 Bayern Munich W DFB Pokal - Women
22 Feb 2026 Bayern Munich W 4–1 VfL Wolfsburg W Frauen Bundesliga
11 Oct 2025 VfL Wolfsburg W 1–3 Bayern Munich W Frauen Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 Bayern Munich W 4–2 VfL Wolfsburg W Supercup der Frauen
14 Mar 2025 Bayern Munich W 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W Frauen Bundesliga
12 Oct 2024 VfL Wolfsburg W 2–0 Bayern Munich W Frauen Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 Bayern Munich W 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W Supercup der Frauen
09 May 2024 Bayern Munich W 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg W DFB Pokal - Women
23 Mar 2024 VfL Wolfsburg W 0–4 Bayern Munich W Frauen Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28/10 Feyenoord W Home 7–0 W
24/10 FC Koln W Home 3–0 W
18/10 Mainz 05 W Away 5–0 W
04/10 Hamburger SV W Home 2–1 W
30/09 Sturm Graz W Away 2–0 W
27/09 SC Sand W Away 6–0 W
23/09 Sturm Graz W Home 6–1 W
18/09 1899 Hoffenheim W Away 1–2 L
13/09 Stuttgart W Away 2–0 W
06/09 Werder Bremen W Home 3–2 W

Bayern Munich W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01/11 Bayer Leverkusen W Home 1–0 W
28/10 Real Madrid W Home 2–2 D
23/10 RB Leipzig W Away 5–1 W
19/10 Stuttgart W Home 5–0 W
03/10 Eintracht Frankfurt W Away 1–0 W
30/09 SL Benfica W Away 3–0 W
27/09 Borussia Monchengladbach W Away 2–1 W
22/09 Manchester City W Home 2–2 D
19/09 FC Koln W Home 5–2 W
14/09 Bayer Leverkusen W Away 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg W #2 · 21 pts ·  Bayern Munich W #1 · 24 pts

VfL Wolfsburg W

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–0D–1L
W 7
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)3.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.40
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.58
Corners for (avg)9.10
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Bayern Munich W

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–0D–0L
W 8
Played8
Goals scored (avg)3.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards7
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.94
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.08
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
VfL Wolfsburg WBayern Munich W
W 7
L 1
W 8
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
3.30
3.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.90
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
11
7
Red cards
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
3.40
2.94
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.58
1.08
Corners for (avg)
9.10
6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

VfL Wolfsburg W

2
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
7
76-90
7
scored conceded

Bayern Munich W

1
0-15
5
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
6
1
61-75
4
2
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws