Predictions → Germany Frauen Bundesliga

FC Koln W vs RB Leipzig W

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Mon, 09 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • Round 9 • Franz-Kremer Stadion • ☁️ 6.4°C, 10 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available46.3% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available75.6% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available66.2% · No 33.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available65% · Under 35% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.2% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.6 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available50.9% · Under 49.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

FC Koln W · Home

FC Koln W have won three of their last five, including a 1-0 home win over RB Leipzig W in the latest head-to-head on 31 Oct 2026. Their recent xG for over up to five recorded matches is 0.93, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.88.

RB Leipzig W · Away

RB Leipzig W have scored 11 goals across their last five, with three clean sheets, but they failed to score in the 0-1 loss at FC Koln W. Their recent xG for over up to five recorded matches is 1.86, against a model expected goals of 1.47 here.

Koln edge recent H2H

The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: FC Koln W beat RB Leipzig W 1-0 on 31 Oct 2026, and the two earlier meetings also split 1-0 and 0-2. Koln's five-match record shows 6 goals for and 6 against, with two matches where they failed to score, so the 1-0 win over Leipzig stands out. Leipzig's 11 goals in five matches came with a 1-5 home loss to Bayern Munich W, showing their scoring has not been uniform. The evidence supports FC Koln W win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:51 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: FC Koln W 1.88 – 1.47 RB Leipzig W · expected total 3.35

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

FC Koln W

Form (last 5)
WLWLW
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.93
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Elo strength rating1510

RB Leipzig W

Form (last 5)
LLWWW
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.35
Elo strength rating1453
FC Koln WRB Leipzig W
WLWLW
LLWWW
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.80
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.93
1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.31
1.35
Elo strength rating
1510
1453

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

FC Koln W

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

RB Leipzig W

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga

FC Koln W

Best clean sheets (3, season)

RB Leipzig W

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

FC Koln W at home · RB Leipzig W away, the split that matters for this fixture.

FC Koln W (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–1L
W 3
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

RB Leipzig W (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
FC Koln W (home)RB Leipzig W (away)
W 3
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.15%
2–0
6.22%
3–1
5.74%
1–0
5.63%
3–2
4.23%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

FC Koln W 3 wins · 0 draws · RB Leipzig W 4 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 4 of 7

3
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
31 Oct 2026 FC Koln W 1–0 RB Leipzig W DFB Pokal - Women
21 Dec 2025 RB Leipzig W 0–1 FC Koln W Frauen Bundesliga
06 Sep 2025 FC Koln W 0–2 RB Leipzig W Frauen Bundesliga
16 Dec 2024 FC Koln W 1–3 RB Leipzig W Frauen Bundesliga
01 Sep 2024 RB Leipzig W 2–1 FC Koln W Frauen Bundesliga
03 Feb 2024 RB Leipzig W 2–1 FC Koln W Frauen Bundesliga
17 Sep 2023 FC Koln W 2–1 RB Leipzig W Frauen Bundesliga

📈 Recent Form

FC Koln W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 RB Leipzig W Home 1–0 W
24/10 VfL Wolfsburg W Away 0–3 L
17/10 Hamburger SV W Home 3–1 W
03/10 SC Freiburg W Home 0–1 L
26/09 Hertha Berlin W Away 2–1 W
19/09 Bayern Munich W Away 2–5 L
12/09 Union Berlin W Home 3–0 W
05/09 Mainz 05 W Away 4–0 W
28/08 1899 Hoffenheim W Home 1–0 W
22/08 Eintracht Frankfurt W Away 0–2 L

RB Leipzig W

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 FC Koln W Away 0–1 L
23/10 Bayern Munich W Home 1–5 L
16/10 SC Freiburg W Away 3–0 W
03/10 Mainz 05 W Home 5–0 W
27/09 Blau-Gelb Marburg W Away 2–0 W
20/09 Union Berlin W Away 2–3 L
12/09 Nürnberg W Home 2–1 W
05/09 Hamburger SV W Away 1–1 D
30/08 Werder Bremen W Away 0–2 L
23/08 Bayer Leverkusen W Home 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga

FC Koln W #6 · 12 pts ·  RB Leipzig W #7 · 10 pts

FC Koln W

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–4L
W 4
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards22
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.93
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
Corners for (avg)3.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

RB Leipzig W

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–4L
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played8
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards21
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.35
Corners for (avg)5.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
FC Koln WRB Leipzig W
W 4
L 4
W 3
D 1
L 4
Played
8
8
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.80
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
22
21
Red cards
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.93
1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.31
1.35
Corners for (avg)
3.80
5.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

FC Koln W

4
0-15
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

RB Leipzig W

2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
6
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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