Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Volksparkstadion • ☀️ 1.7°C, 8 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 62.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 85.4% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 47.9% · Yes 52.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 44.2% · Over 55.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 11.2% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.5 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 57.7% · Over 42.3% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Hamburger SV W 62.9% · Draw 22.5% · Mainz 05 W 14.6%. Selected outcome: Hamburger SV W win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Hamburger SV W 2.04, Mainz 05 W 0.89, expected total 2.93.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Hamburger SV W: D-L-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Mainz 05 W: L-L-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Hamburger SV W
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Hamburger SV W
Mainz 05 W
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Frauen Bundesliga
Hamburger SV W
Mainz 05 W
Rank among 14 Frauen Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Hamburger SV W at home · Mainz 05 W away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Hamburger SV W (home)
Mainz 05 W (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Hamburger SV W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Union Berlin W | Home | 3–4 | L |
| 25/10 | Union Berlin W | Home | 4–4 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Koln W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 04/10 | VfL Wolfsburg W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Meppen W | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 20/09 | Nürnberg W | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 11/09 | Werder Bremen W | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | RB Leipzig W | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/08 | Stuttgart W | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 23/08 | SC Freiburg W | Home | 1–1 | D |
Mainz 05 W
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Werder Bremen W | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 18/10 | VfL Wolfsburg W | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 03/10 | RB Leipzig W | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 26/09 | Ingolstadt W | Away | 6–1 | W |
| 18/09 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 13/09 | SC Freiburg W | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Koln W | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 31/08 | Bayern Munich W | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 24/08 | Werder Bremen W | Home | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Frauen Bundesliga
Hamburger SV W #12 · 6 pts · Mainz 05 W #14 · 0 pts
Hamburger SV W
Mainz 05 W
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Hamburger SV W
Mainz 05 W
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Frauen Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws